The Novice Tipster

  1st Tommie Beau 28/1 - 80 2nd Transmission 10/3 - 50 2nd Sea Invasion 5/1 - 50    As you can see the top 3 are close. Next at 40 were Invincible Nao and Unanswered Prayers.  Tommie Beaus stats at Plumpton over fences are 1, 3, 1, 2. and the 2nd was in this race in 2024. It was soft that day and he was 136, today he is off 125 and although copes well with soft, i would argue he is a better horse on good ground with 7 wins on it. We know the course suits, all his wins have come left handed to. Coming back to Plumpton to this race is interesting. Yes he is 11 now, but he carried 12st 1lb 2 years ago in this, today its 11st 2lb and cheekpieces are applied. Don't rule him out even being the oldest in the race.  Tranmission is 2/2 over hurdles at Plumpton, so the course will be fine, and we know he stays, and the ground is perfect. He went up 8lb for his great run in the Edinburgh National, and his jockey takes off 7 of that, which will help. He definitely has claim...

  1st Tommie Beau 8/1 - 85 2nd Gold Clermont 7/1 - 55 3rd Foxboro 7/1 - 50 3rd Special Acceptance 12/1 - 50 Tommie Beau was the clear winner of this system, he scored well in everything, the big worry is his weight. only one horse has carried 11st 11lb on soft to win this so him carrying 12st 1lb is a massive ask. He wont he Durham National by a head but is 8lb higher now, this is exactly the same standard of race. He won the Southern National too on heavy carrying 12st. He loves the mud, he stays very well. He has a massive chance, however he is on a career high mark.  Gold Clermont won on heavy last time out over further, and beat Eceparti by a massive 14L, there is a 6lb swing in the weights for Eceparti, but Gold Clermonts jockey claims 3lb. She loves the mud and the distances she could go well. My only concern is these stayers tend to beneift from a nice time between races. She only ran 19 days ago.  Foxboro is another who won last time out over further and on soft g...