The Novice Tipster

  1st Gaboriot 11/2 - 55 2nd Mr Vango 4/1 - 40 3rd Monbeg Genius 12/1 - 35 3rd Roi Mage 28/1 - 35   As you can see, Gaboriot comes top by a little bit here. I have based this on soft ground because the rain is due and it's already g-s now. Gaboriot gets in at the bottom of the weights. He has been over this course 3 times now with a UR, 3, 2. That was the Foxhunters and the last 2 were the Grand Sefton, and that includes his last run. So he shows a liking for this course. All those were over 2m 5f though, i have been in this position before with a Colin Tizzard horse Ultragold, who won twice here over 2m 5f but they stepped him up to this race and he didn't stay, whereas this horse has been proven to stay further. So the fact he has won here over 2m 5f and is a winner over 4m, this 3m 2f should suit a lot better. Especially with the rain coming. His highest rating is 128 and runs off 124. He does have a bit to find with some of these, but this distance with such a low weight d...

  1st Mac Tottie 8/1 - 60 2nd Domaine De L'Isle 40/1 - 50 2nd Vieux Lion Rouge 9/1 - 50 3rd Kimberlite Candy 9/1 - 40 The systems havent quite fired yet and thats unusal as they are normally quite good. So i will keep going and hope that soon the start getting it right. Its all based on facts. But the horses need to have the form, thats why its not as good on races where the stats are not there.  Mac Tottie came top here, in what you can imagine is a very tight race. He wont mind the soft and he won at this track over 2m 5f  over the National fences. He jumped well that day, and i do like a horse who has shown a liking for these fences. What the worry is, is he is unproven at  this distance, however he has come 2nd on heavey ground over 3 and a half miles, so you would hope he could get this distance. Up 7lb for the win in the Grand Sefton. he meets a couple again who he beat easily. He could run well here but this is a little tougher, but he carries a nice light wei...