The Novice Tipster

  1:15  Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere Due to conditions i need to find the horses who will go onthis ground because that will be the key. These are lightly raced so its even harder, but for me the standout form is NANDO PERRADO 13/8 who was 2nd to Campanelle at Deauville in the Prix Morny. That was soft that day and the winner could be special. Nando Perrado is also a winner of the Coventry, which is the best form on offer. The soft ground in France is not like the soft ground over here, we would call it heavy. He has to step up a furlong but he is bred to stay the mile. St Marks Bascilica has won a Maiden on soft, and run a great race to be 2nd in the Group 1 National Stakes, the may well deal ok with the ground, but i think he would prefer it a bit drier. Sealiway looks the best of the French.   1:50 Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac - Criterium des Pouliches I do like Pretty Grogeous in this and she is a winner on Soft which is a bonus, she looks to be very good and a worth...

 My views on Chantilly and the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe 1:10 Soustraction 12/1 Polydreams form against Laurens is very solid and makes her a worthy favourite for this and is the choice of Maxime Guyon, which does point to her being the main hope, however the soft conditions, I am not sure how well that will suit, by Oasis Dream I think she would prefer firmer conditions. Magical has form on the softer surface, she beat Happily the first time in a Group 2 and then Happily reversed the form In the Moyglare. As with Polydreams, she would probably prefer firmer conditions, but has shown that she can go well in the mud.   But I am going for SOUSTRACTION who is a big price, for a horse who won a Group 3 on this 2 nd run, the time was actually very good and it was over C&D (Wild Illusion is back in 3 rd ). She won on soft that day, and is by Lope De Vega so the soft conditions will be prefect for her. I think she can cause an upset here. 1:45 Happily ...