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Showing posts from September 7, 2014

Stall Analysis for 13/9/14

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So we have a stall advantage for the Irish Champion Stakes today - it's very interesting.

Please remember i have gone through picking out the races where there seems to be a stall advantage. It takes nothing else into account. However it might help you decide for or against a horse.

Bath

3:25 
8 Random Success 25% 2/1 - my selection
1. Autumn Blush 6% 6/1
Clear advantage here the next best stall was 12%

4:00 
1. Serana Grae 50% 4/1 
3 Hedge End 0% 4/1
Next best stalls were 2 and 4 at 25% each

Chester

1:50 
1. Tortilla Jackson 31% 11/4 - my selection
8. Character Onsie 23% 14/1
2. Crikey 7/2 - 15%
7. Landing Night 0% 16/1

4:45
1. Tyfos 32% 10/1
5. Strategic Heights 0% 9/1
Massive stall advantage here. Stalls 1-4 have a 77% strike rate between them.

5:20
1. Layla's Red Devil 40% 14/1


Leopardstown 

3:35 
12. Wedding Vow 23% 11.4

5:15 
2. Elleval 21% 25/1
3. Indian Maharaja 17% 25/1

6:15 
4. Michaelmas 26% 20/1
1. Bow Creek 3% 8/1

6:50 Irish Champion Stakes
2. Al Kazeem 37% 12/1
4 Mukhadram 0% 12/1


Li…

Test System 13/9/13

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Bath

2:15 -
2:50 Ginzan 7/1 (5-6)
3:25 -
4:00 -
4:35 Pick Pinta 9/4 (5-7)
5:05 Spring Dixie SP (11-12)
5:40 Russian Royale 9/1 (4-5)

Chester

1:50 Midlander SP (5-10)
2:20 Top Of The Glas 9/2 (5-6)
2:55 Sennockian Star 7/2 - (4-5)
3:30 -
4:10 Excellent Puck 5/1 (4-5)
4:45 -
5:20 -

Doncaster

2:05 Belardo 11/4 (4-5)
2:40 -
3:15 Ansgar 11/2 - (3-4)
3:50 Snow Sky 5/1 (3-4)
4:25 Highland Castle 9/1 - (4-5)
5:00 Marshall Jennings 4/1 (4-5)
6:05 Velox 4/1 (3-6)

Leopardstown

3:35 Tamadhor (10-12)
4:05 Vocaliser 25/1 (7-9)
4:40 -
5:15 -
5:45 Flying Job 14/1 (5-6)
6:15 Mustajeeb 2/1 (4-5)
6:50 -
7:20 Buraweez 9/1 (5-6)

Lingfield

2:00 Wherediditallgowrong (9-10)
2:30 Nassau Storm 6/1 (4-5)
3:05 Miracle Of Medniah (6-7) SP
3:40 Inception 11/8 (4-7)
4:15 Sonnetation 5/1 (4-6)
4:50 -
5:25 Giant Sequoia 9/2 (3-4)

Wolverhampton

6:10 Meebo 4/1 - (6-7)
6:40 -
7:10 -
7:40 -
8:10 -
8:40 In Focus 7/2 (4-5)
9:10 Dominium 7/1 (5-6)



Stalls Analysis 12/9/14

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Please note:

This Analysis is pointing out the races where there seems to be some kind of advantage/disadvantage to a stall or stalls. I am not saying it will correctly predict the winner but it might help guide you to find the winner or even lay that short priced horse who has a disadvantage.


Chester

3:05
Stall 2 - Dr Red Eye 26%
Clear advantage to low stall numbers Stalls 6-9 have a strike rate of 6% each (Gatepost, Lady Frances, Chosen Character, Related)

4:15
Stall 1- Charlotte's Day 40%

Doncaster

3:15
Clear advantage to high stall numbers especially stalls 4, 5 and 8 (Alonsoa, Banzari and Shagah) total of 53% strike rate between the 3
Worst stalls 1-3 (Agnes Stewart, Muraaqaba and Astrelle) total of 18% strike rate between the 3

4:25
Stall 6 - Peacock 24%

Salisbury 

5:10
Stall 3 Mywayalways 19%
Stall 4 Nelsons Chick 21%

5:45
Stall 1 Taaqah 57%
Stall 4 Sulaalaat 0%

Sandown 

1:50
Stall 1 Waady 27%
Stall 2 Manofmanytalents 23%
Stalls 5, 6, 7 (Beach Action, Lady Gemini and El Fenix)…

Test System 12/9/14

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Chester

2:00 Vegas Rebel SP (4-8) - lost
2:30 -
3:05 Top Of The Glas 7/2 (4-5) - NR
3:40 -
4:15 -
4:50 Erroneous 11/4 (4-5) - losy
5:20 -

Doncaster

1:40 Bronze Maquette 12/1 (4-5) - Lost
2:10 Retirement Plan 10/1 (4-6) - 2nd
2:40 Estimate 5/4 (4-5) - WON
3:15 Shagah 14/1 (3-4) - 3rd
3:45 -
4:25 Toocoolforschool 9/4 (4-5) Lost (2nd)
5:00 Puzzle Time 5/1  (5-6)

Down Royal

4:05 Kasbah (5-7) 1/4 - WON
4:35 Wee Monster (7-8) - WON 3/1
5:05 Intenser (5-6) - Lost
5:35 Pershing (6-8) - 3rd 7/1
6:05 -
6:35 -
7:05 Notable Graduate (4-6) - WON 3/1

Salisbury

4:40 -
5:10 British Embassy 7/2 (5-8) - Lost
5:45 Sulaalaat (6-8) SP - Lost
6:15 -
6:45 Ganymede 10/3 (4-6) - WON
7:15 -

Sandown

1:50 Lady Gemini (8-10) - lost
2:20 Deluxe (10-12) - lost
2:50 Merry Me 5/1 (4-5) - lost
3:25 -
4:00 Specialty 4/1 (5-6) - lost
4:30 Marydale 5/2 (5-6) - lost


Test System 11/9/14

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Please not the higher the number next to the horse, the more i would avoid the race. As means probably maidens and the horse who comes out best  is the horse with the most experience. As the 1:50 Chepstow proves

Chepstow

1:50 Powerfulstorm (8-9)150/1 - Lost
2:20 Persian Bolt (6-7) 4/1 - Lost (2nd)
2:50 -
3:25 Debit (6-7) 3/1 - Lost
4:00 Romance Story 7/2 (6-7) Lost
4:35 -
5:10 -

Clonmel

4:05 -
4:40 Taaluf (7-8) 7/4- Lost
5:15 Love The Feeling (6-7) 5/2 - Lost
5:45 -
6:15 Saltmills Blackie (5-6) 4/1 - WON
6:45 It's All An Act (6-7) 8/1 - Lost
7:15 Island Villa (5-8) 5/4 - WON

Doncaster

1:40 -
2:10 J Wonder (3-4) 7/1 - Lost
2:40 Silk Sari (4-5) 8/1 - WON
3:15 Mattmu (4-5) 10/1 - 3rd
3:45 Cosseted (3-5) 8/1
4:25 -
5:00 -
5:35 Mission Approved (2-6) 6/1 - lost

Epsom

2:30 Thorkill Star (4-5) 6/4 - lost (2nd)
3:00 Approach The West (4-5) 11/2 - lost
3:35 Aqua Ardens (3-4) 13/2 -WON
4:10 -
4:45 Dreaming Beauty (4-6) 4/1 lost
5:20 Pharaoh Jake (4-5) 7/1 - 3rd

Wolverhampton

5:30 -
6:00 …

Stall Advantage for 11/9/14

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I have a fascination with Stalls. Here are some horses with big stall advantages for today's racing

First of all i need to point out yesterdays results at Doncaster

   Race    Stall order they came in

2,3,12,5,42,4,52,16,72,4,62,7,54,10,2 As you can see yesterdays stall 2 had some kind of advantage. here are today's runners from stall 2.

1:40 Chances Are 25/1
2:10 Evita Peron 16/1
2:40  Dark Crusader 25/1
3:15 The Great War 6/1
3:45 Saxo Jack 22/1
4:25 Principle Equation 9/2
5:00 Commemorative SP
5:35 Bahamian Heights 14/1


Onto the other races today. Here highlighted is the races where it shows an advantage in stalls

4:35 Chepstow 
1. Cincuenta Pasos 20% 3/1 - NR so system invalid
2. Evervescent 20% 9/2

3:00 Epsom 
1. Inspector Norse 22% 8/1 backed in from 16/1 - 2nd
3. Victory Rich 22% 33/1

4:45 Epsom
3. Debutante Blues 28% 8/1
5. Viceroyalty 31% 8/1 - 2nd

7:30 Wolverhampton (based on new surface) only 6 races
1. Don Ricardo 50% (3 wins) 8/1
3. Subversive 33% 2/1 - WON






Test System for 10/9/14

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The smaller the number next the the horse is good, the bigger the gap could be very good)

Carlisle

2:20 Dream Approval (4-5) 9/4 - WON
2:50 Remember Rocky (3-4) 5/1 - WON
3:25 Oricano (9-10) 25/1 - Lost
4:00 Kifaaya (4-6) 6/1 - Lost
4:35 -
5:05 Suni Dancer (4-5) 5/1 - Lost
5:35 Sir Frank Morgan (4-6) 2/1 - Lost

Doncaster

2:00 When Will It End (4-5) 5/1- Lost (3rd)
2:30 Markaz (4-6) 5/2 - Lost (2nd)
3:00 B Fifty Two (4-6) 11/1 - Lost
3:35 Mixed Messaged (4-5) 14/1 - Lost
4:10 Nabucco (4-5) 5/2 - lost
4:45 -
5:15 -

Galway

4:30 Dandridge (5-8) 4/6 _ lost
5:00 Courtncatcher (6-8) 6/1 - Lost
5:30 Donatis Comet (2-3) 5/1 _ lost
6:00 Please Talk (6-9) 2/7 - WON
6:30 Quantitativeeasing (4-5) 4/1- lost
7:00 Elegant Statesman (3-4) 6/1 - Lost
7:30 Double Speak (5-6) 7/2 - WON

Kempton

5:45 -
6:15 Framley Garth (3-5) 7/1- 2nd
6:45 Dalmatia (3-5) 3/1 - Lost
7:15 -
7:45 -
8:15 -
8:45 Two In The Pink (3-4) 8/1- Lost
9:15 Celestial Knight (4-6) 6/4 - WON

Uttoxeter

2:10 Silver Shuffle (4-7) 13/8 - L…

Test System 9/9/14

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Galway

4:15 West Montan 7/4 - WON
4:45 Most Peculiar 11/8 - WON
5:20 Ram Them All 3/1 - Lost (2nd beaten a sh)
5:50 -
6:20 Alelchi Inois 2/5 - WON
6:50 Drop Anchor 9/2 - Lost
7:20 Behana 3/1 - WON

Leicester

2:20 -
2:50 -
3:20 Ciara's Cookie 10/3 - Lost (3rd)
3:50 -
4:20 -
4:50 Housemaker7/4 - Lost (2nd)
5:25 Boston Rocker 11/4 - Lost
5:55 Ela Good La Mou 11/4 - lost

Redcar

2:30 Charlotte's Secret 6/1 -Lost
3:00 Stranghow 11/4 - Lost
3:30 Manatee Bay 20/1 - WON
4:00 -
4:35 Another Royal 9/2 - Lost
5:05 Rocky Too 8/1 - Lost
5:40 See Clearly 8/1 - Lost

Perth

4:25 -
4:55 Diamond Gesture  3/1 - Lost
5:30 -
6:00 Orbeautifuldream 7/1 - 2nd
6:30 -
7:00 Bookem Danno 9/2 - Lost
7:30 Balbriggan 8/11 - WON

Worcester

2:10 Mount Welcome 4/1 - Lost
2:40 Simply Charles 7/4 - Lost (2nd)
3:10 Kyles Faith 5/2 - Lost (2nd)
3:40 Falcarragh1/1 - Lost (2nd)
4:10 -
4:40 -
5:15 Bus Named Desire 50/1 - Lost