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Showing posts from September 7, 2014

Stall Analysis for 13/9/14

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So we have a stall advantage for the Irish Champion Stakes today - it's very interesting. Please remember i have gone through picking out the races where there seems to be a stall advantage. It takes nothing else into account. However it might help you decide for or against a horse. Bath 3:25  8 Random Success 25% 2/1 - my selection 1. Autumn Blush 6% 6/1 Clear advantage here the next best stall was 12% 4:00  1. Serana Grae 50% 4/1  3 Hedge End 0% 4/1 Next best stalls were 2 and 4 at 25% each Chester 1:50  1. Tortilla Jackson 31% 11/4 - my selection 8. Character Onsie 23% 14/1 2. Crikey 7/2 - 15% 7. Landing Night 0% 16/1 4:45 1. Tyfos 32% 10/1 5. Strategic Heights 0% 9/1 Massive stall advantage here. Stalls 1-4 have a 77% strike rate between them.   5:20 1. Layla's Red Devil 40% 14/1 Leopardstown  3:35  12. Wedding Vow 23% 11.4 5:15  2. Elleval 21% 25/1 3. Indian Maharaja 17% 25/1 6:15  4. Michaelmas 26% 20/1 1. Bow Creek 3% 8

Test System 13/9/13

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Bath 2:15 - 2:50 Ginzan 7/1 (5-6) 3:25 - 4:00 - 4:35 Pick Pinta 9/4 (5-7) 5:05 Spring Dixie SP (11-12) 5:40 Russian Royale 9/1 (4-5) Chester 1:50 Midlander SP (5-10) 2:20 Top Of The Glas 9/2 (5-6) 2:55 Sennockian Star 7/2 - (4-5) 3:30 - 4:10 Excellent Puck 5/1 (4-5) 4:45 - 5:20 - Doncaster 2:05 Belardo 11/4 (4-5) 2:40 - 3:15 Ansgar 11/2 - (3-4) 3:50 Snow Sky 5/1 (3-4) 4:25 Highland Castle 9/1 - (4-5) 5:00 Marshall Jennings 4/1 (4-5) 6:05 Velox 4/1 (3-6) Leopardstown 3:35 Tamadhor (10-12) 4:05 Vocaliser 25/1 (7-9) 4:40 - 5:15 - 5:45 Flying Job 14/1 (5-6) 6:15 Mustajeeb 2/1 (4-5) 6:50 - 7:20 Buraweez 9/1 (5-6) Lingfield 2:00 Wherediditallgowrong (9-10) 2:30 Nassau Storm 6/1 (4-5) 3:05 Miracle Of Medniah (6-7) SP 3:40 Inception 11/8 (4-7) 4:15 Sonnetation 5/1 (4-6) 4:50 - 5:25 Giant Sequoia 9/2 (3-4) Wolverhampton 6:10 Meebo 4/1 - (6-7) 6:40 - 7:10 - 7:40 - 8:10 - 8:40 In Focus 7/2 (4-5) 9:10 Dominium 7/1 (5-6)

Stalls Analysis 12/9/14

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Please note: This Analysis is pointing out the races where there seems to be some kind of advantage/disadvantage to a stall or stalls. I am not saying it will correctly predict the winner but it might help guide you to find the winner or even lay that short priced horse who has a disadvantage. Chester 3:05 Stall 2 - Dr Red Eye 26% Clear advantage to low stall numbers Stalls 6-9 have a strike rate of 6% each (Gatepost, Lady Frances, Chosen Character, Related) 4:15 Stall 1- Charlotte's Day 40% Doncaster 3:15 Clear advantage to high stall numbers especially stalls 4, 5 and 8 (Alonsoa, Banzari and Shagah) total of 53% strike rate between the 3 Worst stalls 1-3 (Agnes Stewart, Muraaqaba and Astrelle) total of 18% strike rate between the 3 4:25 Stall 6 - Peacock 24% Salisbury  5:10 Stall 3 Mywayalways 19% Stall 4 Nelsons Chick 21% 5:45 Stall 1 Taaqah 57% Stall 4 Sulaalaat 0% Sandown  1:50 Stall 1 Waady 27% Stall 2 Manofmanytalents 23% Stalls 5

Test System 12/9/14

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Chester 2:00 Vegas Rebel SP (4-8) - lost 2:30 - 3:05 Top Of The Glas 7/2 (4-5) - NR 3:40 - 4:15 - 4:50 Erroneous 11/4 (4-5) - losy 5:20 - Doncaster 1:40 Bronze Maquette 12/1 (4-5) - Lost 2:10 Retirement Plan 10/1 (4-6) - 2nd 2:40 Estimate 5/4 (4-5) - WON 3:15 Shagah 14/1 (3-4) - 3rd 3:45 - 4:25 Toocoolforschool 9/4 (4-5) Lost (2nd) 5:00 Puzzle Time 5/1  (5-6) Down Royal 4:05 Kasbah (5-7) 1/4 - WON 4:35 Wee Monster (7-8) - WON 3/1 5:05 Intenser (5-6) - Lost 5:35 Pershing (6-8) - 3rd 7/1 6:05 - 6:35 - 7:05 Notable Graduate (4-6) - WON 3/1 Salisbury 4:40 - 5:10 British Embassy 7/2 (5-8) - Lost 5:45 Sulaalaat (6-8) SP - Lost 6:15 - 6:45 Ganymede 10/3 (4-6) - WON 7:15 - Sandown 1:50 Lady Gemini (8-10) - lost 2:20 Deluxe (10-12) - lost 2:50 Merry Me 5/1 (4-5) - lost 3:25 - 4:00 Specialty 4/1 (5-6) - lost 4:30 Marydale 5/2 (5-6) - lost

Test System 11/9/14

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Please not the higher the number next to the horse, the more i would avoid the race. As means probably maidens and the horse who comes out best  is the horse with the most experience. As the 1:50 Chepstow proves Chepstow 1:50 Powerfulstorm (8-9)150/1 - Lost 2:20 Persian Bolt (6-7) 4/1 - Lost (2nd) 2:50 - 3:25 Debit (6-7) 3/1 - Lost 4:00 Romance Story 7/2 (6-7) Lost 4:35 - 5:10 - Clonmel 4:05 - 4:40 Taaluf (7-8) 7/4- Lost 5:15 Love The Feeling (6-7) 5/2 - Lost 5:45 - 6:15 Saltmills Blackie (5-6) 4/1 - WON 6:45 It's All An Act (6-7) 8/1 - Lost 7:15 Island Villa (5-8) 5/4 - WON Doncaster 1:40 - 2:10 J Wonder (3-4) 7/1 - Lost 2:40 Silk Sari (4-5) 8/1 - WON 3:15 Mattmu (4-5) 10/1 - 3rd 3:45 Cosseted (3-5) 8/1 4:25 - 5:00 - 5:35 Mission Approved (2-6) 6/1 - lost Epsom 2:30 Thorkill Star (4-5) 6/4 - lost (2nd) 3:00 Approach The West (4-5) 11/2 - lost 3:35 Aqua Ardens (3-4) 13/2 -WON 4:10 - 4:45 Dreaming Beauty (4-6) 4/1 lost 5:20 Pharaoh Jake

Stall Advantage for 11/9/14

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I have a fascination with Stalls. Here are some horses with big stall advantages for today's racing First of all i need to point out yesterdays results at Doncaster      Race    Stall order they came in 2,3,1 2,5,4 2,4,5 2,16,7 2,4,6 2,7,5 4,10,2 As you can see yesterdays stall 2 had some kind of advantage. here are today's runners from stall 2. 1:40 Chances Are 25/1 2:10 Evita Peron 16/1 2:40  Dark Crusader 25/1 3:15 The Great War 6/1 3:45 Saxo Jack 22/1 4:25 Principle Equation 9/2 5:00 Commemorative SP 5:35 Bahamian Heights 14/1 Onto the other races today. Here highlighted is the races where it shows an advantage in stalls 4:35 Chepstow  1. Cincuenta Pasos 20% 3/1 - NR so system invalid 2. Evervescent 20% 9/2 3:00 Epsom  1. Inspector Norse 22% 8/1 backed in from 16/1 - 2nd 3. Victory Rich 22% 33/1 4:45 Epsom 3. Debutante Blues 28% 8/1 5. Viceroyalty 31% 8/1 - 2nd 7:30 Wolverhampton (based on new surface) only 6 races 1. Don Ric

Test System for 10/9/14

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The smaller the number next the the horse is good, the bigger the gap could be very good) Carlisle 2:20 Dream Approval (4-5) 9/4 - WON 2:50 Remember Rocky (3-4) 5/1 - WON 3:25 Oricano (9-10) 25/1 - Lost 4:00 Kifaaya (4-6) 6/1 - Lost 4:35 - 5:05 Suni Dancer (4-5) 5/1 - Lost 5:35 Sir Frank Morgan (4-6) 2/1 - Lost Doncaster 2:00 When Will It End (4-5) 5/1- Lost (3rd) 2:30 Markaz (4-6) 5/2 - Lost (2nd) 3:00 B Fifty Two (4-6) 11/1 - Lost 3:35 Mixed Messaged (4-5) 14/1 - Lost 4:10 Nabucco (4-5) 5/2 - lost 4:45 - 5:15 - Galway 4:30 Dandridge (5-8) 4/6 _ lost 5:00 Courtncatcher (6-8) 6/1 - Lost 5:30 Donatis Comet (2-3) 5/1 _ lost 6:00 Please Talk (6-9) 2/7 - WON 6:30 Quantitativeeasing (4-5) 4/1- lost 7:00 Elegant Statesman (3-4) 6/1 - Lost 7:30 Double Speak (5-6) 7/2 - WON Kempton 5:45 - 6:15 Framley Garth (3-5) 7/1- 2nd 6:45 Dalmatia (3-5) 3/1 - Lost 7:15 - 7:45 - 8:15 - 8:45 Two In The Pink (3-4) 8/1- Lost 9:15 Celestial Knight (4-6) 6/4 - WON

Test System 9/9/14

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Galway 4:15 West Montan 7/4 - WON 4:45 Most Peculiar 11/8 - WON 5:20 Ram Them All 3/1 - Lost (2nd beaten a sh) 5:50 - 6:20 Alelchi Inois 2/5 - WON 6:50 Drop Anchor 9/2 - Lost 7:20 Behana 3/1 - WON Leicester 2:20 - 2:50 - 3:20 Ciara's Cookie 10/3 - Lost (3rd) 3:50 - 4:20 - 4:50 Housemaker7/4 - Lost (2nd) 5:25 Boston Rocker 11/4 - Lost 5:55 Ela Good La Mou 11/4 - lost Redcar 2:30 Charlotte's Secret 6/1 -Lost 3:00 Stranghow 11/4 - Lost 3:30 Manatee Bay 20/1 - WON 4:00 - 4:35 Another Royal 9/2 - Lost 5:05 Rocky Too 8/1 - Lost 5:40 See Clearly 8/1 - Lost Perth 4:25 - 4:55 Diamond Gesture  3/1 - Lost 5:30 - 6:00 Orbeautifuldream 7/1 - 2nd 6:30 - 7:00 Bookem Danno 9/2 - Lost 7:30 Balbriggan 8/11 - WON Worcester 2:10 Mount Welcome 4/1 - Lost 2:40 Simply Charles 7/4 - Lost (2nd) 3:10 Kyles Faith 5/2 - Lost (2nd) 3:40 Falcarragh1/1 - Lost (2nd) 4:10 - 4:40 - 5:15 Bus Named Desire 50/1 - Lost