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Showing posts from May 1, 2016

07/05/16 2:55 Hexham - System

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2:55 Hexham 1st Captain Hox 4/1 - 80 2nd Vodka Wells 5/1 - 70 3rd Have You Had Yours 16/1 - 60 Captain Hox, likes Hexham and will like the ground today. He has a very good chance, i think he is still on a good handicap mark and although carrying topweight, he is the one they have to beat. Vodka Wells stats at Hexham are 1, 2, 1. he is 1/1 over the chase course. He also has to deal with top weight, but i can see him put in a good round, the going will suit him much more than his last race. His only win over fences came here in the novice race, and was given a handicap mark of 132, he has since dropped down the handicap to 120, he must have a great chance back here. Have You Had Yours will like the going today and has won at Hexham, not sure he will beat rhe first 2, but he certainly has good place claims. My Selection: Captain Hox 4/1

07/05/16 6:05 Thirsk - System

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6:05 Thirsk 1st Sabre Squadron 13/2 -50 2nd Sunglider 9/1 - 45 3rd Mustashry 4/11 - 40 Interesting race this. Sir Michael Stoute has a good strike rate here at Thirsk, and Peter Chapple Hyam has the nb, and they have some fascinating runners. I was on Sunglider already as connections think he will run very well on this faster surface. Not going to lie the drift from 9/2 out to 9/1 is a big worry. Mustashry has the best speed stats and is obviously the horse to beat based on odds. I think he is far too short though and am happy with Sunglider, however Sabre Squadron's connections have had 2 maiden runners in the last 14 days, and both have won, so those stats ook good, plus the trainer is going through a purple patch. I am happy to take on the fave here, especially as the odds are too short. My Selection: Sabre Squadron 13/2 (am on Sunglider 9/1 as well ew)

07/05/16 Warwick

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Warwick 5:15 Rating : Stowaway Magic Going : The Coffee Hunter Speed : The Outlaw My Selection : Stowaway Magic 11/10 5:50 Rating : Church Field Going : Church Field Speed : Miles To Memphis My Selection : Church Field 8/1 6:20 Rating : Virgilio Going : Kilfinichen Bay Speed : Theinval My Selection : Virgilio 6/4 6:50 Rating : Forgiving Glance Going : Rejaah Speed : Culture De Sivola My Selection : Rejaah 5/2 7:20 Rating : Zalgarry Going : Hannah’s Princess Speed : A Boy Named Suzy My Selection : A Boy Named Suzy 12/1 7:50 Rating : Court Of Law Going : Double Chocolate Speed : Bally Lagan My Selection : Court Of Law 3/1 8:20 Rating : Hahnenkam Going : none Speed : Beggars Wishes My Selection : Beggars Wishes 9/1

07/05/16 Stall Advantage?

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1:45 Lingfield Stall 1 - Cordite 8/1 - 30% Stall 5 - Acclio 13/2 - 26% The other stalls have a 44% strike rate total. 2:20 Lingfield Stall 5 - Jailawi 13/2 - 57% Unusual stats. Only 7 races been run under today's exact conditions. But 4 winners have come from this stall. Not may stats to go on, but unusual. 5:35 Thirsk Stalls 3-6 = 78% of winners - Tancred, Orlando Rouge, Johnny B Goode, and Ay Up Audrey winner should come from one of these stalls.

07/05/16 Interesting Stats

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1. Skelton hasn't sent many runners to Warwick in May, but what he has sent has run very well, and if they are ridden by his brother, then the stats are 8 runners and 5 winners (62.5%) and Virgilio who runs today, won for him last year 6.20 Virgilio 7/4 7.20 Go Odee Go 10/1 8.20 Bubba N Squeak 8/1 2. Dermot Weld has only ever sent 6 horses to Wexford on a Saturday in May, 4 of them won. Its only a small stat but In general on a Saturday at any time of the year at Wexford, he has a 39% strike rate, In the whole of May he has had 6 faves running and 4 have won 66.67% - both are favourite at the moment 2.35 Shinghari 5/2 3.45 Monocle 3/1 3.William Haggas has a 44.44% strike rate at Lingfield in May (18 runners 8 winners) He has just the one runner there today. Todays horse is favourite at the moment, and favourites he has had 8 of them and 5 have won 62.5% 2.50 Light Music 10/3

4:15 Ascot - Victoria Cup

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Victoria Cup 1st Buckstay 14/1 - 85 2nd Predominance 8/1 - 55 3rd Mullionheir 20/1 - 45 Races like this are hard to predict as a horse needs to have plenty of luck. Buckstay certainly has some good stats, but he is a hold up horse and he has to find some gaps to have any kind of chance. Buckstay runs pretty well fresh, he likes Ascot and is 2 runs 1 win and 1 place over C&D. He should go very well. But he does have a bit of weight to carry. Predominace is a horse i like a lot and he will be there at the end, if getting some gaps. I would be more than happy with just those 2 horses. My Selection: Buckstay 14/1 & Predominance 8/1

07/05/16 Channel 4 Races

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2:15 Haydock Rating : War Sound Going : All Set To Go Speed : War Sound My Selection : War Sound 16/1 2:30 Ascot Stalls : none Rating : Duretto Going : Plutocracy Speed : Cayirli My Selection : Cayirli 14/1 2:45 Haydock Stalls : none Rating : You’re Fired Going : none Speed : Kelinni My Selection : Kelinni 4/1 3:05 Ascot Stalls : Giant Redwood Rating : Elite Army Going : Elite Army Speed : Oriental Fox My Selection : Oriental Fox 4/1 3:25 Lingfield Stalls : Mountain Bell Rating : Architecture/Capricious Cantor Going : Mountain Bell Speed : Chinoiseries My Selection : Mountain Bell 2/1 3:40 Ascot Stalls : none Rating : Light And Shade Going : Imshivalla Speed : Tutu Nguru My Selection : Tutu Nguru 7/2 4:00 Lingfield Stalls : none Rating : Winning Story Going : Humphrey Bogart Speed : Landofhopeandglory My Selection : Landofhopeandglory 4/1 4:15 Ascot Stalls : none Rating : Hold Ti

06/05/16 Ripon

Ripon 5:50 Stalls : Pulsating Rating : Who Told Jo Jo Going :   Redarna Speed : Who Told Jo Jo My Selection : Who Told Jo Jo 11/10 (maybe Pulsating 14/1 worth an ew) 6:20 Stalls : none Rating : Samsonite Going : Italian Beauty Speed : Samsonite My Selection : Samsonite 4/1 6:55 Stalls : none Rating : Dandyleekie Going : Bashiba Speed : Barkston Ash My Selection : Barkston Ash 5/1 (bashiba interests me at 40/1 – but unexposed Time Check is the one to beat) 7:30 Stalls : none Rating : Salieris Mass Going : Woodacre Speed : El Beau My Selection : Woodacre 13/2 8:00 Stalls : Lexington Bay Rating : Tuscan Gold Going : Lexington Bay Speed : Lexington Bay My Selection : Lexington Bay 25/1 8:30 Stalls : Fools Dream Rating : Thankyou Stars Going : none Speed : General Alexander My Selection : Thankyou Stars 11/10