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Showing posts from November 29, 2020

05/12/20 3:15 Aintree - System

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  1st Might Bite 16/1 - 55 2nd Touch Kick 28/1 - 50 2nd Semetagel 10/1 - 50 3rd Modus 8/1 - 35 3rd Beau Bay 28/1 - 35 I cannot deny i am very happy that Might Bite is top here. He is my absolute favouirte. However this was not my doing, this is soley down to stats. And as you see, its pretty close. So why is he top? Unlike the last system, Might Bite has never run over the National fences, however, his stats at Aintree are 1, 1, UR. He is a Grae 1 winner here, when winning the Betway Bowl. He goes well on a flat track with 4 wins from 9, with his stats looking like this 1, 2, F, 1, 1, 1, 5, 7, UR. He had lost his way a bit but his last run showed some spark, and he would have needed the run. He has also been eased 2lb for that run. He is 2/2 over 2m 5f albeit over hurdles. At his peak he was rated 172, he is now 150.Just shows you how far he has fallen from grace. However, if he shows some spark again over these fences, he has major claims.  Touch Kick does have experience, with a 6th

05/12/20 1:30 Aintree - System

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  1st Walk In The Mill 5/1 - 80 2nd Ramses De Teillee 8/1 - 50 3rd Vieux Lion Rouge 14/1 - 45 4th Minellacelebration 14/1 - 40 No surprise that Walk In The Mill is top here. He has won this race twice from 2 attempts and was 4th in lasts years National. He loves it here and it shows, plus both race wins were on soft. He is 8lb higher than last years win. His trainer hasnt been in bad form, but on course form Walk In The Mill sets the standard.  Ramses De Teillee pulled up in last years National but it was 3 out, but before that had jumped ok, it was just too far. So this drop back in distance for this race over the fences could be ideal. He is up 4lb for his last run where he won by a short head to Yala Enki, so has to produce a career best. He is Tom Scudamores selection, so probably the preferred runner of the yard  Vieux Lion Rouge is from the same yard as Ramses De Teillee.  He won this race in 2016 off 2lb higher. In fact his stats in this race is 1, 7, 2, 9. he is 5lb lower than

05/12/20 Aintree

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  Aintree   11:45 Ratings: Dragiannini Going: Mackenburg/Danehill Kodiac Speed:   Dargiannini My Selection: Dargiannini 8/11   12:20 Ratings: Quoi De Neuf Going: Azzert/Clan Legend Speed:   Solar Impulse My Selection: Quoi De Neuf 3/1   12:55 Ratings: Captain Tom Cat Going: Kateson/Eternally Yours Speed:   Hunters Call My Selection: Hunters Call 7/2   1:30 Ratings: Walk In The Mill Going: Calypso Collonges Speed:   Minellacelebration My Selection: Walk In The Mill 5/1   2:05 Ratings: Megan Going: Megan Speed:   Hiconic My Selection: Megan 6/4   2:40 Ratings: Native River Going: Santini Speed:   Keeper Hill My Selection: Santini 11/8   3:15 Ratings: Might Bite Going: Touch Kick Speed:   Semetagel My Selection: Might Bite 16/1

05/12/20 Sandown

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  Sandown   12:05 Ratings: The Worthy Brat Going: Phoenix Aquilus Speed:   The Worthy Brat My Selection: The Worthy Brat 11/2   12:40 Ratings: Grand Mogul Going: None Speed:   Grand Mogul My Selection: Grand Mogul 1/5   1:15 Ratings: Fifty Ball Going: None Speed:   Chasamax My Selection: Fifty Ball 9/4   1:50 Ratings: Hitman Going: Allmankind Speed:   Tamaroc Du Mathan My Selection: Hitman 11/4   2:25 Ratings: Altior Going: Altior Speed:   Altior My Selection: Altior 4/5   3:00 Ratings: Classic Ben Going: Doing Fine Speed:   Doing Fine My Selection: Doing Fine 13/2   3:35 Ratings: Mister Coffey Going: Totterdown Speed:   Eglantine Du Seuil My Selection: Totterdown 12/1