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Showing posts from October 2, 2016

09/10/16 4:40 Limerick - Munster National

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1st Elegant Statesman 11/1 - 80
2nd Dare To Endeavour 12/1 - 65
3rd Clarcam 33/1 - 60

A nice competitive race here, where Elegant Statsman stood out, in fact i will be surprised if he isnt in the top 3. Ground is fine, although would prefer it to not rain anymore. Distance is ok, i am not worried he has not run at 3 miles yet. Gets on great with his jockey. All his wins have come right haned, and a small stat but interesting is he is 3 wins from 4 in October. Is a winner at Limerick. 11/1 looks generous.

Dare to Endeavour will want the rain, the distance is fine though. If there is rain which is forecast, his price could drop.

Clarcam has a lot of things going for him, except he is top weight, an although his jockey is claiming 7lb, he still has a big ask.

I do like Elegant Statesmans stablemate Stellar Notion as well

My Selection: Elegant Statesman 11/1



08/10/16 Newcastle

08/10/16 3:00 Hexham -System

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1st Ethelwyn 6/5 - 40
1st Wildhearted Woman 4/1 - 40
1st Cherry Princess 80/1 - 40
2n Verona Opera 13/2 - 30

As you can see this is a very tight race. But i think its between Ethelwyn and Wildhearted Woman. Maybe a rfc?

Not many stats to go on here though so any improver could take this

My Selection: Ethelwyn 6/5 - (rfc with WW)

08/10/16 Predictor Test

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Newmarket

1:45 Gravity Flows 11/4
2:55 Rodaini 11/2

York

3:10 Lost At Sea 7/1 - showing ew
4:20 Nancy Hart 28/1


08/10/16 4:10 Newmarket - Cesarewitch

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1st Starchitect 8/1 - 65
2nd St Michel 6/1 - 60
3rd Grumeti 28/1 - 55

I've always thought of this race as a race that the National Hunt lads like to win, like Grumeti last year winning at a massive 50/1. Well he is back to defend his title and he could go well.

So many stats to go through so i wont write a big thing here.

It's a close race. Starchitect is a horse i follow, he has a big future, especially at Cheltenham and he can certainly win a race like this so i am more than happy to stick with him. Grumeti is only 1lb higher than last year.

Its a tough race, with 33 runners so there is a lot of luck in running but i do notice apart from Scatter Dice, most winners are up there with the leaders or lead in this race. Starchitect is a front runner and Grumeti runs with the leaders. St Michel is a hold up horse, and for me thats a worry, if he is up with the pace then i would be interested.

My Selection: Starchitect 8/1

08/10/16 Newmarket

07/10/16 York