The Novice Tipster

  1st Caernarfon 50/1 - 60 2nd Lezoo 14/1 - 40 2nd Meditate 7/1 - 40 2nd Mawj 12/1 - 40 2nd Karsavina 50/1 - 40 Well i have ante post bets on Meditate and Mammas Girl, and if it was better ground, both fillies would be better scores. It was a very tight race, in fact half way through and i had most on the same score. So its a very tight race.  Caernarfon was a shock and 50/1 as well. She is a C&D winner on soft which is a bonus here. It was only a Listed race, but she beat Dream Of Love that day, both had previous runs before that race as well. There wasnt much in it that day. She has to step up again, and you could argue she is more exposed than Dream Of Love. But the softer ground is definitely in her favour.  Meditate came 2nd in the Cheveley Park, and she should not mind the soft going either, she has a great chance. I would be worried Lezoo wouldnt stay and in soft ground i think this wont help. She did beat Meditate though in the Cheveley Park and i think Medita...

  Newmarket   1:15 Stalls : None Ratings: Western Symphony Going: Francesco Guardi Speed: Francesco Guardi My Selection: Francesco Guardi 9/4   1:50 Stalls : None Ratings: Grand Bazaar Going: Hyanna Speed: Sky Defender My Selection: Sky Defender 9/1   2:25 Stalls : None Ratings: Ashaari/Lady Hayes Going: None Speed: Alba Rose My Selection: Alba Rose 9/1   3:00 Stalls : None Ratings: Freyja Going: Lavenders Blue Speed: Lavenders Blue My Selection: Lavenders Blue 4/1   3:40 Stalls : None Ratings: Alcohol Free Going: Sacred Speed: Seattle Rock My Selection: Alcohol Free 7/1   4:15 Stalls : None Ratings: None Going: My Dubawi (sire) Speed: War Of Courage My Selection: War Of Courage 9/2   4:50 Stalls : None Ratings: Echo Point Going: Annandale Speed: Annandale My Selection: Annandale 7/4   5:20 Stalls : None Ratings: ...

  1st Sacred 7/1 - 70 2nd Alcohol Free 7/1 - 45 2nd Fev Rover 16/1 - 45 3rd Star Of Emaraaty 66/1 - 40 First i want to point out, as i am someone who enjoys looking at Stall stats. Well Santa Barbara has had only 1 winner from stall 1 (2%) which is pretty poor. A good horse may overcome this but i feel this is a disadvantage.  Sacred was well clear here and its very encouraging. She has some great form in Group races last year but she was well beaten in the Cheveley Park and the trainer says she had, had enough that season, it was a race too much. She came back stronger and better and won the Nell Gwyn last time out at the track and beat the unbeaten Saffron Beach (scored 30)who had only run at this track. Sacred is now 1, 8, 1 at this track and this step up in distance looks to suit here. She has every chance.  Alcohol Free won the Cheveley Park Stakes that Scared failed to fire in, and she won nicely. Then she came back from a break and won the Fred Darling, where she b...

1st Iridessa 6/1 - 70 2nd Just Wonderful 11/2 - 50 2nd Fairyland 12/1 - 50 3rd Fleeting 16/1 - 40 3rd Hermosa 14/1 - 40 3rd Garrel Glen 150/1 - 40 As you can see it's a pretty tight result, although a clear winner in Iridessa. Iridessa won the Fillies Mile here as a 2yo. Probably didn't like the going on seasonal debut, but will have come on from that run. I like that she has experience here as it helps. Looks like it could be a Irish 1,2, 3, and possibly 4. Just Wonderful and Fairyland are big prices for Aidan horses. Both have won at at Newmarket. Fairyland comes under the same stats as Ten Sovereigns where she is jumping from 6f to 1m, and AOB has not had a winner doing that, always a first but Just Wonderful looks the main contender for them here. Believe it or not, Garrel Glen scored the best of the British here and although she has no chance, i think it points to the Irish domination again. My Selection: Iridessa 6/1 

Newmarket 1:50 Stalls : None Ratings: Spirit Ridge/Corelli Going: Baghdad Speed:   Corelli My Selection: Corelli 9/2 2:20 Stalls : Nyaleti Ratings: Worth Waiting Going: Worth Waiting Speed:   Rasima My Selection: Worth Waiting 7/1 2:55 Stalls : None Ratings: Falvius Titus Going: Summerghand Speed:   Gifted Master My Selection: Gifted Master 7/1 3:35 Stalls : None Ratings: Iridessa Going: Qabala Speed:   Fairyland My Selection: Fairyland 9/1 4:10 Stalls : None Ratings: Electrical Storm Going: None Speed:   Electrical Storm My Selection: Electrical Storm 4/6 4:45 Stalls : Shagalla Ratings: Clematis Going: Ill Have Another Speed:   Ill Have Another My Selection: Ill Have Another 7/1 5:20 Stalls : None Ratings: Aspire Tower Going: Nayef Road Speed:   Fraser Island My Selection: Fraser Island 9/4