The Novice Tipster

1st Irving 13/2 - 65 2nd Apples Jade 9/4 - 55 2nd Petit Mouchoir 7/2 - 55 3rd Sceau Royle  11/4 - 50 I was surprised Irving topped this, but he is a winner at this track, he has won 5 times from 8 on soft. He has won 5 from 7 in November, which goes well with the fact that he is fresh and he might just surprise us. Apples Jade was only 80% fit last time which seems strange but if she was then Petit Mouchoir will be beaten again today. Sceau Royale was impressive last time out. At the end of the day this is very competitive Apples Jade could win this if fully fit. Sceau Royale will go well and is in top form and you cannot ignore top chaser Hidden Cyclone either. I will stick with Irving but only for a small interest bet, this is more one to watch. My Selection: Irving 13/2

Last Saturdays speed stats went ok, so i am going to try again 5:15 Enchantment 3/1 5:45 Omran 13/8 6:15 Commanche 9/2 6:45 Win Lose Draw 5/1 7:15 Keystroke 2/1 7:45 Buthelezi 16/1 8:15 Commissar 33/1 8:45 Cahar Fad 12/1

Newbury 12:20 Rating : Dusky Legend Going : Copper Kay Speed : Dusky Legend My Selection : Dusky Legend 13/8 12:55 Rating : Thistlecrack Going : Thistlecrack Speed : Thistlecrack My Selection : Thistlecrack 1/7 1:30 Rating : Mystifiable Going : Full Shift Speed : Fox Appeal My Selection : Full Shift 20/1 2:05 Rating : Battle Born Going : Born Survivor Speed : Mister Eckhart My Selection : Born Survivor 4/1 2:40 Rating : Ozzie The Oscar Going : Holly Bush Henry (3/3) Speed : Ozzie The Oscar My Selection : Ozzie The Oscar 7/2 3:10 Rating : Smad Place Going : Vincente Speed : Aubusson My Selection : Smad Place 10/1 3:45 Rating : Ut Majeur Aulmes Going : Ut Majeur Aulmes Speed : Imjoeking My Selection : Ut Majeur Aulmes 15/2

Newcastle 12:05 Rating : Knocklayde Going : Dubai Angel/Applaus Speed : Nomoreblackjack My Selection : Dubai Angel 6/4 12:35 Rating : Nietsche Going : Nietsche Speed : Nietsche My Selection : Nietsche 13/8 (the fave I have no stats on for his win, but I suspect he will be very good – see trainers comments on the fave) 1:10 Rating : Boric Going : Chanceofa Lifetime Speed : Just Georgie My Selection : Boric 20/1 1:45 Rating : Get On The Yager Going : none Speed : Get On The Yager My Selection : Get On The Yager 8/11 2:20 Rating : Gullys Edge Going : Gullys Edge Speed : Dan Emmett My Selection : Gullys Edge 9/2 2:55 Rating : Sceau Royal Going :   Hidden Cyclone/Irving Speed : Petit Mouchoir My Selection : Sceau Royal 9/4 3:30 Rating : Wakanda Going : Definitely Red Speed : Katkeau My Selection : Definitely Red 3/1

Newcastle 12:40 Miss Danby 5/2 1:15 Lorikeet 6/1 1:45 Kingofmerrows 10/3 2:20 Just For You 15/8 2:55 Magnolia Ridge 15/8 3:30 Character Onesie 9/1 4:00 Andys Girl 11/2 Wolverhampton 4:15 Dr Red Eye 22/1 4:45 Whozthecat 7/1 5:15 Bossa Nova 22/1 5:45 Miss Mayson 5/1 6:15 Squash 10/3 6:45 Taajub 13/2 7:15 Pivotman 9/2 (The Third Man 6/1 has a good stall and nb speed) 7:45 New Agenda 5/1

168 runners 109 winners 64.88% strike rate =  £156.99 profit 1.35 Newbury  One Track Mind 7/4   Other Profitable System   12.20 Doncaster  The Unit 10/11 12.30 Newbury  Jenkins 4/6  

Please remember these are horses with overall best speed stats - nothing else included 4:25 Cuban Queen 10/1 4:55 Peace And Plenty 7/1 5:25 Freediver 12/1 5:55 Astute Boy 12/1 6:25 Primrose Valley 8/1 6:55 Lady Of Yue 10/1 7:25 East Coast Lady 8/1 7:55 Tommy's Secret 7/2

I have 3 systems that are doing very well the last few days. They are based on favourites, so if the horse drifts and loses favouritism status then it will not qualify. So i thought i would share todays qualifier - last 7 days is a 60%+ average strike rate, but yesterday was about 80% 1.00 Thurles  Champagne Fever 11/8 1.15 Taunton  Lost In Lecce Gethings, 6/5 12.30 Thurles General Principle 4/5 1.30 Thurles  Dounikos  5/4 2.35 Thurles Canny Tom 2/1 1.35 Towcester  Verygoodverygood  5/4

1st Tommys Secret 4/1 - 80 2nd Anjuna Beach 20/1 70 3rd Rebel State 9/2 - 55 Tommys Secret did well here and i can certainly see why he comes here with a good chance. He dropped into Class 6 company for the 3rd race in a row at the course. His first time he had the worst stall and wasn't beaten too far. Last time out he was headed in the dying strides. He has a good stall today. He is 7lb lower than his last win which was over C&D in a better race, (a year ago) and what strikes me is that he is 2/2 in November. So postives are he is on a winning mark, he is 2/2 for runs in November and he is a winner over C&D. Negatives is the trainer and jockey are not in form, although trainer did have a 16/1 2nd a few days back. Anjuna Beach looked impressive at the beginning of this system. I cannot see the horse winning however seeing as he has run at Chelmsford 8 times and placed 6, is good stats, and the horses is 4 runs and 4 places over C&D. 20/1 could be a very nice p

Horses with the best speed stats at Wolves and Chelmsford. Once again just seeing how it goes Wolverhampton 12:30 Kings Heart 7/2 1:00 Princess Way 8/1 1:30 American History 11/4 2:05 X Rated 7/4 2:35 Ttainted Love 3/1 3:10 Miss Minuty 5/1 3:40 Macret 20/1 4:10 Lady Nayef 12/1 Kempton 4:25 Hertford Dancer 20/1 4:55 Kingthistle 15/2 5:25 Kings Academy 3/1 5:55 Al Reeh 5/4 6:25 Tagula Night 16/1 6:55 Dogma 16/1 7:25 Lawmaking 33/1 7:55 Mowhoob 7/2 Best Speedsters 5:55 Al Reeh 5/4 - 4 5:25 Kings Academy 3/1 - 5 12:30 Kings Heart 7/2 - 6 1:30 American History 11/4 - 6 2:05 X Rated 7/4 - 9 2:35 Ttainted Love 3/1 - 8

Wolverhampton 12:30 Stalls : none Rating : Geraldine Going : none Speed : Kings Heart My Selection : Kings Heart 4/1 1:00 Stalls : Orithia Rating : Princess Way Going : Stag Party Speed : Princess Way My Selection : Princess Way 8/1 (Stag Party ew chance) 1:30 Stalls : Serenade The Stars Rating : Zumurudee Going : Serenade The Stars Speed : American History My Selection : Serenade The Stars 28/1 2:05 Stalls : Oxford Thinking Rating : Jive Talking Going : Dragonite Speed : XRated My Selection : Oxford Thinking 6/4 2:35 Stalls : none Rating : Ttainted Love Going : Trishuli Rock Speed : Ttainted Love My Selection : Ttainted Rock 3/1 3:10 Stalls : none Rating : Topaling Going : Topaling Speed : Miss Minuty My Selection : Topaling 17/2 3:40 Stalls : Edge Of Heaven Rating : Eurystheus Going : Edge Of Heaven Speed : Macret My Selection : Edge Of Heaven 33/1 4:10 Stalls : Roaring Rory