The Novice Tipster

  1st Ocean Wind 50/1 - 75 2nd Goshen 14/1 - 65 3rd Not So Sleepy 16/1 - 60 4th Grand Providence 9/1 - 50   As you can see there is a clear winner here, i was surprised as i thought Not So Sleepy was going to come top. But a 50/1 horse! Must be looked at in more detail. I dont like Ocean Winds weight! with 9st 9lb its a lot to carry over this marathon trip in such testing conditions. He won the  Cesarewitch Trail 3 years ago off 13lb lower than today and the going was Good to Firm that day. On the flat his stats on soft are 1, 3. So the ground shouldnt be a problem. He has dropped from an all time high of 112 down to 102. His last 3 races i would probably feel compelled to look past, because the average rated horse in this race is 91, and in those 3 races they are 10 to 20lb higher than today. So this is much easier. He was off the track before coming back after 771 days, and the handicapper was not too generous, and only dropped him 5lb, so i wonder if the next 3 races were purely to

  Newmarket (s)   1:25 Stalls : None Ratings : Ambiente Friendly Going : Per Contra/Starliner Speed : Chief Little Rock Selection : Chief Little Rock 4/1   2:00 Stalls : None Ratings : Alyanaabi Going : Henry Adams/Iberian Speed : Iberian Selection : Iberian 10/3   2:40 Stalls : None Ratings : Grand Providence Going : Blazeonfive/Tashkhan Speed : Wordsworth Selection : Wordsworth 25/1   3:15 Stalls : None Ratings : Meribella Going : Arabian Crown/Dallas Star Speed : Arabian Crown Selection : Arabian Crown 11/10   3:50 Stalls : None Ratings : Real Gain Going : Maximilian Caesar Speed : Highland Avenue Selection : Highland Avenue 5/1   4:25 Stalls : None Ratings : Fair Angelica Going : None Speed : Kingdom Of Riches Selection : Kingdom Of Riches 9/1   5:00 Stalls : None Ratings : Unequal Love Going : Fast Response Speed : Funny Story Selection : Unequal Love 9/2    

    York (s)   1:15 Stalls : None Ratings : Tropical Island Going : Purosangue/Tropical Island Speed : Purosangue   Selection : Purosangue 3/1   1:50 Stalls : None Ratings : Im Puzzled Going : Aragon Castle Speed : Aragon Castle Selection : Aragon Castle 5/1   2:25 Stalls : None Ratings : Albasheer Going : Aleezdancer Speed : Albasheer Selection : Albasheer 6/1   3:05 Stalls : None Ratings : Align The Stars Going : Align The Stars Speed : Align The Stars Selection : Align The Stars 3/1   3:35 Stalls : None Ratings : Titian Going : La Yakel Speed : Batemans Bay Selection : Batemans Bay 12/1   4:10 Stalls : None Ratings : September Power Going : Wakool/Punctuation Speed : Wakool Selection : Wakool 8/1   4:45 Stalls : None Ratings : Invisible Friend Going : Furzig Speed : Maries Diamond Selection : Furzig 9/1