The Novice Tipster

Newbury  1:45 Magnetic Charm 7/4 2:50 Hot Team 4/5 5:00 Manor Park 10/1 Catterick 2:35 Kinloch Pride 5/1 3:10 Casima 3/1 5:15 Havana Mariposa 11/1 Nottingham 5:20 Strict Tempo 4/1 5:50 One To Go 9/2 6:20 Eponina 11/4 7:25 Gas Monkey 11/4 8:30 Silca Mistress 7/2 Ayr  5:40 Fognini 6/5 6:10 Tobeornottobe 7/1 6:45 Dark Defender 3/1 7:15 Play Mate 11/8 7:50 Ziarah 3/1 Roscommon 5:30 Camilia De Cotte 9/4 6:30 Yaha Fizz 7/2 7:05 Elyisian Plains 10/11 7:35 Cooldine Bog 8/1

Kempton 1:50 Iconic Knight 3/1 2:25 Graffiti Master 4/9 2:55 Exceeding Power 8/1 3:30 Spiritzig 50/1 4:05 Odyssa 9/4 4:35  Goodwood Crusader 14/1 5:05 Finelcity 9/1 Leicester 2:00 Queen Of Kalahari 9/4 2:35 Spirit Of Belle 2/1 3:05 Bodie And Doyle 40/1 3:40 Soie D'leau 6/5 4:15 Golden Birthday 15/8 4:45 Fastnet Spin 9/4 5:15 Waves 9/2 5:45 Coverham 3/1 Roscommon  1:45 Sirjack Thomas 5/2 2:15 Ecoeye 7/1 2:50 Mazaaji 40/1 3:20 Siempre Amigos 3/1 3:55 Inis Meain 33/1 4:30 William Du Berlais 8/11 5:00 Statistical 25/1 5:30 Flawless Escape 2/5  

1st Na Tachtalai Abu 13/2 - 70 2nd Tawseef 20/1 - 50 3rd Une Lavandiere 11/1 - 45 4th Dubai Devils 9/1 - 40 It actually looks a much closer race than perhaps this system shows. NTA's stats at 3mils and over are 8, 1, 8, 2, 2, 2, 2, 1. His last race he was coming back after 235 days off, with a tongue tie on and managed to beat Presenting Julio who was race fit, in fact every horse in that race had aleady had the benefit of at least one run except one (who was PU). So the fact he won was impressive. He obviously has come on from that because they have turned him out again very quickly. The quick turn around is not an issue either as his stats for a quick turn around are 1, 2.  the 2nd was here at Roscommon, beaten a head!!. He is well handicapped, having come a very close 2nd off 2lb higher over todays distance last year. My only worry here s the going as he is yet to win on anything softer than good to soft and he is top weight, but the booking of Mark Walsh is a big plus...

Ratings System 3:20 Ripon - Two For Two 11/1 New Test System 1:00 Chepstow - Good Omen 8/11 5:05 Ripon - Mujaamil 2/5 7:00 Roscommon - Simenon 5/4 Permanent Systems 2:35 Chepstow - Cocoa Beach 10/1 2:50 Newcastle - Megara 7/4

1. 270 runners 257 winners = 95.19% (overall) - very occasionally this comes up 6.20 Uttoxeter - Theflyingportrait 11/10 2. 5 runners 4 winners = 80% (last 7 days) 7.00 Roscommon - Captain Barbossa 8/15 6.20 Uttoxeter - Theflyingportrait 11/10 8.50 Uttoxeter - Violoniste 1/1

1. 77 runners 48 winner = 62.34% strike rate (14 days) 35 runners 23 winners = 65.71% (7 days) 2.45 Ayr Dark Confidant 5/2 3.50 Ayr Causey Arch 9/4 4.25 Ayr My Name Is Rio 3/1 5.55 Roscommon Sir Edwin Landseer 10/11 8.35 Windsor Laugh Aloud 2/5 2. 72 runners 47 winners = 65.28% 3.15 Ayr Ingleby Hollow 11/4 4.40 Worcester Sir Toby 5/2   3. 37 runners 25 winners = 67.57%   4.55 Ayr Shadow Game 7/2 8.25 Roscommon Munaashid 2/1

Strategical 3 Main tips tomorrow 3:45 Worcester - Handmaid (nap) 8:20 Roscommon - Sweet My Lord 5/4 Based on the same as yesterday Lucky 31 - e/w 2:45 Worcester - Adrenalin Flight 17/2 3:00 Thirsk - Go Go green 12/1 3:30 Thirsk - Tiger Reigns 14/1 4:15 Worcester - Priors Gold 12/1 5:00 Thirsk - See Clearly 5/1 Patent e/w 5:40 Roscommon - Iron Major 16/1 6:10 Roscommon - Jazz Girl 11/1 6:40 Roscommon - Andalucia Lady 12/1 System Pick 5:00 Thirsk 1st Red Cape 16/1 - 75 2nd Charlemagne Diva 10/1 - 45 3rd Mitchum 18/1 - 35 4th El McGlynn 25/1 - 30 Charlemagne Diva came top of the main stats, but Red Cape beat every other horse hands down with speed stats, in fact he was well clear of the opposition. If i hadn't already back See Clearly, i would be on Red Cape. Sir Nod came 2nd in the speed stats. But being a lady Amateur race anything can happen

2:00 Salisbury - Emperors Hope 2/1 - £30 2:15 Fontwell - Try Catch Me 4/1 (nap) 3:30 Salisbury - Raushan 7/4 7:20 Roscommon - Face Facts 9/1 e/w 8:10 Worcester - Definitely Glad 7/2 9:10 Worcester - Rum And Butter 9/2 £60 stake - £30 return = -£30 loss Todays Nap 2:15 Fontwell - Try Catch Me 4/1 Only beaten by 4 1/2L's last time out over C&D, and has only gone up 1lb for that. The winner was raised 7lb and went on to win by 9L's next time out. And of the horses that have run from that race there have been 2 more winners. His stats over C&D are 1, 1, 3, 2. His 3rd place was when he tried to do it off 9lb higher than today, going down by 6L's. He is only 5lb higher than his last win here. But is 3lb lower in the weights.  Looking at the other runners in the race Amaury De Lusignan hasn't bee the same since his 8 months off the track. 2lb lower than his last win, and drop in grade too, hasn't won further than 2m 1f though yet. Giant Du Murc...

Riskit Fora Biskit 8:40 Windsor - Riskit Fora Biskit 10/3 9:00 Roscommon - Solstice Knight 6/1 e/w The above are my main tips but i like all these for e/w bets 2:20 Newton Abbot - Tae Kwon Do 12/1 5:00 Southwell - Mataajir 9/1 5:30 Southwell - Hellbender 6/1