The Novice Tipster

Wolverhampton 5:45 Rapid Ranger 3/1 6:15 Edge 17/2 6:45 Rogue Hero 14/1 7:15 Bill Cody 20/1 7:45 Corinthia Knight 6/4 8:15 Haines 8/1 8:45 Caracas 4/1 9:15 Soghan 5/2

Heavy  1:30 Aintree Vieux Lion Rouge 5 runs 5 wins 8/1 2:10 Chepstow The Boss's Dream 2 runs 2 wins 17/2 Soft  1:20 Wetherby Crank Em Up 2 runs 2 wins 10/1 1:55 Wetherby Tonto's Spirit 5 runs 4 wins 7/1 2:00 Navan Tombstone 2 runs 2 wins 4/6 2:25 Wetherby Special Catch 10 runs 5 wins  13/2 2:35 Aintree Defintely Red 11 runs 5 wins 15/8 All Weather  7:45 Wolverhampton Corinthia Knight 3 runs 3 wins 6/4

1st The Last Samurai 8/1 - 45 2nd Vieux Lion Rouge 15/2 - 40 2nd Goodtoknow 12/1 - 40 2nd Blaklion 5/2 - 40 2nd Viva Steve 12/1 - 40 Not going to go into much detail. As you can see it is a tough race and over these fences anything can happen. Vieux Lion Rouge won this last year, he is 10lb higher now, but he is also 5/5 on heavy ground, so he should go well. The Last Samurai came 16th in this years National. He likes it soft but not sure he will enjoy the heavy conditions with the weight he carries. No horse has won this race carrying more than 10st 12lbs in heavy. He carries a whole stone more. Blaklion makes obvious appeal here. Out and out stayer who came 4th in the National this year. He is a Grade 2 winner on Heavy over 3 miles. Once again weight is an issue with 11st 6lb. I know i am talking about weigh a lot here, and i really think in these conditions over these fences its. Horses carrying 11st 10lb + there has only been 3 and their stats are PU, PU, 5.  Which a

1st Blameitalonmyroots 16/1 -75 1st Alfie Spinner 12/1 - 75 2nd Bob Ford 5/1 - 65 Firstly this is a very close race as i have 3 horses in 3rd  Milansbar, Binge Drinker and Shotgun Paddy all on 60. Looking at previous runnings of this race on heavy then horses carrying under 11st go much better, just to give you and idea, 25 horses have carried 11st or more, 1 horse won. Le Beau Bai (won the first running of the race) 2 horses 3rd and 2nd. 11 of them PU! 1 UR 2 Fell, and the rest trailed in the back of the field. Binge Drinker faces a very tough task carrying 11st 12lb and coming back from a a year off. 5/2 for me is far too short to back him, the ground will be ok but he would not want to run in a bog, which i suspect will be the case, it could well be bottomless groundout there today, he certainly has the class with the Might Bite form but he has a lot to do. Buywise and Wild West Wind are the other 2 to carry over 11st. Blameitalonmyroots is a tough old girl, and she is 2/

I am doing speed but for the soft/heavy going i will look at best speed on that going Aintree 11:55 Midnight Shadow 3/1 12:25 Swift Crusader 2/1 12:55 Alphabetical Order 7/2 1:30 Viva Steve 16/1 2:05 Malaya 4/6 (Grey Waters for the f/c) 2:35 Definitely Red 7/4 3:10 Mercian Prince 6/1 Chepstow  12:30  I Am Sam 66/1 1:00 Chooseyourweapon 11/10 1:35 Millanisi Boy 10/1 2:10 Steel Summit 12/1 2:45 Shotgun Paddy 8/1 3:20 Major Hindrance 8/1 3:50 Turbotim 100/1 Sandown 12:05 Whatswrongwithyou 4/1 12:40 The Wicket Chicken 5/2 1:10 Holly Bush Henry 4/1 1:45 Brain Power 13/8 2:20 Crossed My Mind 5/1 2:55 Fox Norton 4/7 3:30 Doing Fine 5/1 Wetherby  11:45 La Drapeau 14/1 12:15 Ami Desbois 8/11 12:45 On A Promise 4/1 (Oscars Prospect 25/1 might be a good ew) 1:20 Sir Will 7/2 1:55 Sakhee's City 7/2 2:25 Special Catch 4/1 3:00 Lots Ov 20/1

Sedgefield 12:10 Midnight Walk 9/4 12:40 Charmant 11/4 1:15 Inniscastle Lad 5/4 1:45 Kings Eclipse 4/1 2:20 Viserion 11/4 2:55 Contented 5/6 3:25 Theatre Legend 9/4 Exeter 12:30 Timely Gift 3/1 1:00 Run To Milan 5/1 1:35 Cesar Collonges 4/1 2:05 Calipto 13/8 2:40 Modus 2/5 3:15 Vice Et Vertu 16/1 3:45 Lapford Lad 20/1 Chelmsford 5:45 Zipedeedodah 9/2 6:15 Imperial Red 11/2 6:45 Tadaany 9/4 7:15 Karijini 2/1 7:45 Tangramm 9/1 8:15 Dukes Meadow 11/1 8:45 Robbie Roo Roo 14/1 Dundalk  5:30 Medal Of Honour 9/4 6:00 Goodnite Irina 9/4 6:30 He's Our Music 8/1 7:00 Snow Patch 9/4 7:30 Winter Lion 11/1 8:00 Dhafeera 5/4 8:30 Gordon Lord Byron 7/1 9:00 Honor Oak 9/4

Sandown 12:50 Ratings: Shanroe Santos Going: Pickamix Speed:   Shanroe Santos My Selection: Shanroe Santos 7/2 1:25 Ratings: Tommy Hallinan Going: Jukebox Jive Speed:   Night Of Glory My Selection: Jukebox Jive 7/4 1:55 Ratings: Ramore Will Going: Wilberdragon Speed:   Lithic My Selection: Lithic 3/1 2:30 Ratings: On The Blind Side Going: On The Blind Side Speed:   On The Blind Side My Selection: On The Blind Side 13/8 3:05 Ratings: Gregarious Going: Red Devil Star Speed:   Workbench My Selection: Red Devil Star 9/2 3:35 Ratings: Phoenix Dawn Going: Windshear Speed:   Le Capricieux My Selection: Windshear 8/1

7:30 Dundalk Abraham 10/1 8:45 Chelmsford Dashing Poet 13/2

 Chelmsford 5:25 Global Academy 6/1 5:55 Red Cymbal 5/6 6:30 Inexes 10/1 7:00 Belgian Bill 8/1 7:30 Glen Coco 5/2 8:00 Love Me Again 16/1 8:30 Vicotoriously 10/3 9:00 Silver Penny 9/2 Meydan  2:30 Rayya 2/1 3:40 Loures 9/4 4:15 Epsilon 7/1 4:50 Grand Argentier 11/4 5:25 Mister Parma 5/1 6:00 Nolohay 4/1

Leicester  12:40 Glen Rocco 12/1 1:10 Hazariban 9/1 1:45 Diamond Rock 4/1 2:15 Versifier 12/1 2:50 Midnight Gem 11/1 3:25 Visage Blanc 10/1 Market Rasen  12:50 Sunshade 4/6 1:20 Elkstone 2/1 1:55 Clondaw Cian  7/2 2:25 Lettheriverrundry 9/1 3:00 American Life 9/2 3:30 Foccacia 9/4 Wincanton 1:00 Petticoat Tails 5/4 1:35 Jenny's Surprise 5/2 2:05 Capeland 2/1 2:40 Hows My Friend 7/2 3:15 Johns Luck 8/1 3:50 Grand Sancy 5/1  

Haydock 12:50 Chicoria 9/1 1:20 Rolling Dylan 2/1 1:55 Joke Dancer 7/2 2:25 West Wizard 14/1 3:00 Freddie's Portrait 16/1 3:30 One For Harry 11/2 Ludlow  12:30 Royal Beekeeper 6/4 1:00 Polo The Mumm 9/4 1:30 Midnight Jazz 11/4 2:05 Dueling Banjos 9/2 2:35 Gayebury 5/2 3:10 Minella Style 9/2 3:40 Lilliput Lane 4/1

Dundalk  2:00 Mojambo 2/1 2:30 Koybridge 2/1 .3:05 Turn On The Tears 9/4 .3:35 Nigg Bay 4/1 4:10 Burren View Lady 7/1 4:45 Financial Conduct 7/4 (Caldos Novas 50/1 might be an interesting newcommer) 5:15 Empresario 14/1 5:45 Tilda's Icon 6/1 Lingfield 11:40 Narjes 11/4 12:10 Favourite Royal 9/1 12:40 Felisa  8/1 .1:10 Petite Jack 3/1 1:45 Widnes 12/1 2:15 Rockley Point 9/2 2:50 Passing Star 7/1 3:20 General Allenby 8/1 Newcastle 3:25 Gallifrey 5/1 .4:00 Carp Kid 12/1 4:30 Move It Move It 9/4 5:00 Astolat 33/1 5:30 Rock Warbler 4/1 6:00 Our Greta 7/1 6:30 Borough Boy 5/1 7:00 Excellent World 2/1

Lingfield  1:00 Personal Coach 11/4 1:30 Rose Of Cimarron 13/8 2:00 Ulva Ferry 16/1 2:30 Sea Wall 6/4 3:00 Cloudy Beach 9/1 3:30 The Game Is A Foot 3/1 Southwell  12:20 Ronnie Lawson 7/2 12:50 Castletown 13/2 1:20 Station Master 9/4 1:50 Raz De Maree 8/1 2:20 Mahlervous 12/1 2:50 Mr Banks 15/2 3:20 Rebel Commander 5/1 Wolverhampton  12:40 Boycie 9/2 1:10 Upavon 9/1 1:40 American Endevour 13/2 2:10 Catoca 10/3 2:40 Start Seven 14/1 3:10 Athaseel 15/2 3:40 Peak Hill 7/1 4:10 Joys Delight 15/8