The Novice Tipster

Might pay to follow Paul Nicholls now, especially today 2.00 Market Rasen Dreamcatching 8/11 3.20 Ffos Las Earthmoves 4/5 3.35 Market Rasen Contre Tous 5/4 4.10 Market Rasen More Bucks 2/1 5.30 Ffos Las Sainlouis Des Pres 4/1    During April; since 2007, he has had a respectable 20.6% strike rate. But Sunday to Tuesday that goes up to 36.36% (last year that went up to 40% as in title race, the same as this year) If they are favourite it goes up to 48%. Not saying they will all win but. Paul Nicholls will not give over his crown easily and will throw everything he can at it.

Paul Nicholls is flying at the moment, it might be worth following him. In the last 7 days he has had 11 runners and 8 winners at a massive 73% strike rate. And this month alone he is on 44% strike rate. 1.40 Fontwell Movewiththetimes 15/8 2.45 Fontwell Hawkhurst 4/1 3.20 Fontwell As De Mee 11/10 4.05 Worcester Nexius 11/2 5.10 Worcester Just Acting 6/1

1. Paul Nicholls has sent 11 runners to Southwell and 8 have won (72.73%) and it doesn't have to be a favouite. Although he has not had a runner in May, between March - October he has had 5 runners and ALL have won. He has one tomorrow 6:05 Keltus 11/8 2. Patrick Chamings at Cheptow could be interesting, on the face of it he has sent 46 runners to race on the flat, only 7 have won (15%) However, if you dig a little then it looks a bit better. If David Probert is riding then his stats are 11 runners 6 winners. (54.55%) and if the horse is favourite then is 2 runners 2 winners. 7:25 Double Czech 5/2 3. Willie McCreery has had over 100 runners at Tipperary, but when teaming up with Billy Lee, they have had 17 runners and 7 have won, but a further 5 have placed. (70% place rate) £292.65 ROI 4.45 Ocotillo 8/1 5.15 Sweetest Taboo 7/2 7.45 Sliver Thisle 16/1 8.15 Escalate 7/1

1. Paul Nicholls does well in May with a 28.87% strike rate. However he does even better at Newton Abbot in May where he has had 51 runners and 21 winners, which is a rather large however if you cut that down to horses who go off favourite, then the stats are 19 runners 13 winners = 68.42% His runners today are 2.00 Black Corton 9/4 (not fave) * 2.30 Abidjan 8/13* 3.35 Art Mauresque 11/4 4.45 Port Melon 4/1 (not fave)* of those running above. Sam Twiston Davies has ridden 4 times in May here for Paul Nicholls and has won on 3 times. The ones marked with a * will be ridden by him today 2. Richard Ford has only ever had 20 runners at Kelso but 6 of them have won making that 30%. However he hasn't done so well if they are not favourite, If they are favourite then he does ok 6 runners 5 winners = 83.33% £9.75 profit per £1 stake. He is 1/1 in May. Todays runner is   2.20 Dr Beaujolais 3/1 3. Dan Skelton does well in May, in fact from ...

Supplicant - Richard Fahey looking forward to him running 12/10/13 by The Novice Tipster » Fri Oct 11, 2013 7:01 pm William Buick NEZAR MY BEST CHANCE ON A TOUGH FUTURE CHAMPIONS DAY CARD AT NEWMARKET There’s a slightly strange feeling about riding at my local track on Future Champions Day because for the first time in a while I’ll be in action at Newmarket on a Saturday without a ride for the boss, John Gosden. For that reason alone I don’t think it’s going to be straightforward finding a winner but it’s hopefully business as usual on Sunday at Goodwood where I’ve got some tidy rides for Clarehaven. As for Newmarket, I think my best chance of getting a result is NEZAR (4.55) in the Autumn Stakes over a mile. Although he was beaten in a Group 3 Last time when he was third to Miracle Of Medinah I’m pretty sure he’s up to winning at this grade. He’s a horse I’ve always liked since I won on him first time out at Windsor in July and we were unlu...

Something i posted for club members a couple weeks ago National Hunt Youngsters To Follow 2013/14 by The Novice Tipster » Wed Sep 25, 2013 5:10 pm West Wizard 4yo (King´s Theatre - Queen´s Diamond) Nicky Henderson Must be on top of most people’s list. Won a Bumper at Kempton in impressive style in March. Nicky Henderson says “is a horse I’m mad about, a gorgeous one for the future that showed a glimpse of what he’s capable of winning the bumper.” http://thenovicetipster.com/info.php?horse=West%20Wizard Clean Sheet 4yo (Oscar - High Park Lady) Nicky Henderson Won a Point to Point at Dromahane and impressed the experts, quickening stylishly to win. He looks to be heading for a Bumper first, but connections think he has a very bright future. http://thenovicetipster.com/info.php?horse=Clean%20Sheet On Blueberry Hill 4yo (Flemensfirth - Mrs Malt) Paul Nicholls New to Paul Nicholls yard. He describes him as “Big, strong but green and backwards, but could b...

Straight From The Trainers Mouth Day 1 Cheltenham The Supreme Novice Hurdle My Tent Or Yours – He is a very exciting young jumper and will go to Cheltenham with high expectations. If he runs up to the Newbury form, I will be delighted. – AP McCoy He'd work at home, he doesn't need to go anywhere [for a racecourse gallop], but you wouldn't want to leave him alone for long. He goes for the Supreme. He didn't have a very hard race at Newbury. But he does need to work. You can see him there, for a young horse, he's a bull. [How good is he?] I don't know. It goes without saying, the sadness is that Darlan doesn't go there as well. It's hard to believe he isn't. You just know you're missing one and he should be there. The irony is, on the Monday you lose one and you think, where in the world are you going to replace him? And then on the Saturday, out comes that [MTOY] and suddenly looks as if he just wants to step into Darlan's s...