07/05/23 3:40 Newmarket - 1000gns System

 

1st Caernarfon 50/1 - 60

2nd Lezoo 14/1 - 40

2nd Meditate 7/1 - 40

2nd Mawj 12/1 - 40

2nd Karsavina 50/1 - 40


Well i have ante post bets on Meditate and Mammas Girl, and if it was better ground, both fillies would be better scores. It was a very tight race, in fact half way through and i had most on the same score. So its a very tight race. 

Caernarfon was a shock and 50/1 as well. She is a C&D winner on soft which is a bonus here. It was only a Listed race, but she beat Dream Of Love that day, both had previous runs before that race as well. There wasnt much in it that day. She has to step up again, and you could argue she is more exposed than Dream Of Love. But the softer ground is definitely in her favour. 

Meditate came 2nd in the Cheveley Park, and she should not mind the soft going either, she has a great chance. I would be worried Lezoo wouldnt stay and in soft ground i think this wont help. She did beat Meditate though in the Cheveley Park and i think Meditate could revserse the form. 

Mawj should stay the mile, she came 3rd to Meditate and Lezoo. But another who the ground would be an issue and sap her stamina as 1m might be as far as she wants.

Karsavina i dont think will mind the soft ground, and she is bred to stay further. She could surprise a few. Was 4th in the Nell Gwyn, but if they dont act on soft then she could reverse that form. 


My Selection: Caernarfon 50/1


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