24/10/25 3:35 Cheltenham System

 

1st Third Time Lucki 10/1 - 80

2nd Matata 5/1 - 50

3rd Calico 3/1 - 45

 

Third Time Lucki scored very well here, at his peak he was 153 rated chaser, he has won twice at Cheltenham over distance to. Ground is fine and he is now rated 137 after dropping way down in the handicap. Obviously he is 10 now so he probably won't reach the 153 again, although is still potentially well handicapped.  

Matata is rated 160, he was 2nd in this last year off 147, so i he up a massive 13lb in the handicap. Where as the winner Calico is only 4lb higher in the handicap, which probably shouts that Matata is at a huge disadvantage meeting Calico again. He did however come 2nd in a Grade 2, so this is much easier. He is probably better on good ground but can cope with softer. Distance and track are fine, and he is not without a chance. 

Calico has, as said above, won this last year, so we already know that Course and Distance is fine. He is another who i think prefers good ground but can cope with softer. He is 4lb higher than last year, but his stats coming back after a break is 2, 2, 1 and that's all at Cheltenham. He will go well

My Selection: Third Time Lucki 10/1 

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