12/04/24 4:05 Aintree - Topham Chase System

 

1st Bill Baxter 4/1 - 55

1st Shakem Uparry 13/2 - 55

2nd Frero Banbou 20/1 - 40

2nd Good Boy Bobby 33/1 - 40


3rd was Quel Destin, Your Darling, Celebre D'allen all on 35. 

I wasnt aware my system got the top 2 in the market up there. I hoped they were big prices. 

Bill Baxter i put first for one reason, and that is weight. No horse has won on soft or heavy in the race carrying more than 11st 2lb. So its a big negative for me despite his brilliant win at Cheltenham. He ticks a lot of boxes though so you cant rule him out. Ground and distance are perfect. Its just the weight for me. 

Bill Baxter won this last year off 1lb lower, that was on soft but he doesnt mind heavy . He loves a flat track and going left handed, and likes the fences. 

Frero Banbou is 2lb lower than when 3rd in the Grand Sefton on heavy ground. So ditance ground and course are fine. He will go well, but Ventia Williams has tried 18 times to win this race and the best was a 2nd and 3rd, can she break this losing run?

Good Boy Bobby stays well, loves this ground and jumps well, a perfect combination. He pulled up in the Grand National 2 years ago but was badly hampared in the race so this looks interesting. I wouldnt ignore him

Any of the above could win this, i am following the system with a win and ew on the first 2. 

My Selections: Bill Baxter 4/1 (w) Shakem Uparry 13/2 (ew)

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