02/06/23 4:30 Epsom - The English Oaks System

 

1st Soul Sister 9/4 - 40

1st Eternal Hope 12/1 - 40

2nd Savethelastdance 6/5 - 30

3rd Be Happy 40/1 - 35

There is really few stats to go on. This could well be between the top 3 and the betting suggests it. Savethelastdance hasnt scored more but is untested on this faster ground, although breeding suggest the faster ground will suit very well. The trip should be fine. 

Eternal Hope has won all her races on the all weather her dam was the same. So its a big unknown if she will cope with the faster surface here, if she does she has a chance. 

Soul Sister is a winner on good ground, she won her trial well. Didnt cope to well with the soft on her 2nd run so you would have to think the better ground will suit. 

Heartache Tonight is another unknown on the groun as only run on soft and very soft. Be Happy was 2nd to Eternal Hope and might be another who would prefer the softer ground. Running Lion the trip is a worry for me if im honest, her sire never saw out the Epsom trip and his offspring have never won past 1m 3f, also her stall is not great. 

Stalls can play an important part in this race and the first 3 stalls have only produced 21% of the winners. Running Lion, Sea Of Roses and Bright Diamond have the first 3 stalls. 

I cant decide a winner, my system gives Soul Sister and Eternal Hope the edge but there is a question mark on Eternal Hope so really it is between Sould Sister and Savethelastdance, but i would like to think Eternal Hope could came 3rd. Sorry the system is not more definite.

My Selection: Soul Sister 9/4



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