03/06/22 4:30 Espom - Cazoo Oaks System

 

1st Emily Upjohn 11/8 - 70

1st Concert Hall 9/1 - 70

2nd With The Moonlight 11/1 - 60

3rd Nashwa 10/3 - 50

The others were very close 45 - Tuesday & Tranquil Lad, 35 - Thoughts of June.

As you can see this has some high scorers here. Emily Upjohn and Concert Hall have scored very highly. 

Emily Upjohn is unbeaten, ground will suit, she should get the distance no problem. She is coming the exact same route as the illfated Snowfall who won the Oaks last year.  In fact 4 others have won the coming via the Musidora, and 3 of them won the Musidora one placed. She has a great chance.

Concert Hall will enjoy this ground, and this distance is excatly what she wants, he own dam Was, won this very race. Aidan has also had 4 winners who went via the Irish 1000gns and of those 4 winners only 1 won the 1000gns. Concert Hall came 3rd that day, and we know she needs this trip and the 1m would be too short. She cannot be be doscounted.

With The Moonlight seems versatile ground wise, and she came back on season debut with a nice win over 1m 2f , the trip might be a question mark, her dam was a sprinter and her siblings have not won over 1m, her sire is Frankel so it gives you hope she will, plus she won really nicely over 1m 2f.

Nashwa's sire is also Frankel, and he dam won at 1m 2 and a half furlongs, her half brother was a winner at 1m 4f so stamina is pretty much guaranteed. Ground is fine and she has a great chance of making history with Hollie Doyle on board!

Of the others Tuesday is the full sister to Minding who won this, and is coming the exact same route, where they both came 2nd in the Irish 1000gns. So, you have to think she has massive claims, the one negative and its a pretty big one. Stall 1!! No horse in the Oaks has ever won from this stall, and that includes 3 favourites. 

Thoughts of June won the Cheshire Oaks in May and probably wants better ground so she will be interesting. I personally have 2 ante post bets in this race, she is one at 100/1 and i have Concert Hall who i got at 16/1. So im hoping for good runs from both. My personal opinion is that Emily Upjohn will be very hard to beat. Tuesday has very bad luck with the stall, which is a shame. 

From my system i would suggest Emily Upjohn, but also Concert Hall ew.

My Selection: Emily Upjohn 11/8 (ew on Concert Hall 16/1)