25/05/21 7:45 Ballinrobe - Mayo National System

 

1st Dromore Lad 12/1 - 75

2nd Auvergnat 25/1 - 40

3rd Fitzhenry 14/1 - 35

Dromore Lad was head and shoulders above the others here. He loves soft and wont care if it rains even more. He has come 2nd over C&D in a Beginners Chase, where he actually beat Aforementioned who went on to win the Grade 1 Munster National. His last win came in the Cork National over 3m 4f on soft, he is 3lb higher today but he was 9L in front of the 2nd horse. The drop back in distance is fine in fact his stats over 2m 7f is 1, 2, 4. The 2 is over fences. the others were over hurdles. This track suits well as all his 5 wins have come on right handed courses, and he prefers these flatter tracks. He carries a good weight and he has only raced 7 times over fences but even at 9 he could show some improvement if conditions are right for him. He is certainly capable, i am worried about recent form but my system have picked him out so im happy to stick with him

Auvergnant will also love the conditions here. He has never run at Ballinrobe but as with Dromore Lad the flat track will suit well. My worry is that on old form he has every chance, but he had 468 days off the track then came back and Pulled Up where he was then off another 96 days. He hasnt been the same form since but if he can find that form he could go well. He hasnt had the soft ground he loves since the 96 days off so hopefully that will revitalise him. 

Fitzhenry's stats on soft are 5, 2, 1, 3, 2, 2, 2, 6, 13. he is normally very consistant in this grade with stats of 1, 2, 6, 3, 3, 4, 2, 2, 11, 7, His last time in a Grade 2 where he came 7th he is now 8lb lower in the handicap after running in Grade 1 races. He has a chance here if running back to his best. 

My Selection: Dromore Lad 12/1

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