10/04/21 4:15 Aintree - System
2nd Happygolucky 3/1 -55
3rd Sam Brown 9/1 - 40
3rd Ofalltheginjoints 16/1 - 40
As you can see this race looks to be between the top 2 here. Well i hope my system is correct.
On his day Top Notch is v/ery good. He loves this ground with stats of 1, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 15, 1, 3, 3. the step up in trip is an unknown as his stats at 3m is 3, 15. both were in a Grade 1 and the 3rd was a 3m 1f. However, most his wins have come at 2m and 4-5f. Looking at the 3rd place run, the average rated horse was 154, and it was over hurdles where Paisley Park won, He has gone this far over fences though and thats the worry. 2m 6f and a half is the furthest he has been over fences and he won it. it was a Grade 2. He has the class to win this, he run very well at Cheltenham last time where he was giving 14lb to The Shunter. As long as the distance is fine he has big claims.
Happygolucky will love this ground being 2/2 on it and the distance is no probelm. He was 2nd in the Ultima to a horse i followed from a system here - Vintage Clouds. Happygolucky has every chance here.
Sam Brown would prefer it to rain, and rain a lot. He is coming back from a break too so its a tough ask. The distance is fine and he is avery good. He has a big chance, but im worried about the ground for him
Ofalltheginjoints form has been patchy but distance is fine and so is the going. He might be out of his league here though
My Selection: Top Notch 9/1
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