13/03/21 3:42 Ayr - System

 

1st Grand Morning 12/1 - 70

2nd Baby Ticker 16/1 - 60

3rd Dorking Boy 7/1 - 50

Not as competitve as it looked. Grand Morning was impressive with the stats. His form at Ayr is 1, 1, 2. All over hurdles and the 2nd was over half a furlong further thatn today on soft ground. Has won on heavy here and has won at 2m 6f on heavy too. He reverts back to hurdles after a poor campaign over fences reulting in a last place last time out. His hurdles for is very solid 3, 1, 1, 1, 2, 9. the 9th was in a Grade 3 plus right handed and looking at his form around Left handed course like here its, 3, 1, 1, 1, PU, 4, 2, 2. where his right handed for is PU, 4, 9, 7. the 4th was last of 4. So im much happier he is on this track, distance is fine. Ignoring the 9th placed hurdle form, his one before that was 2nd at Ayr over half a furlong further rated 125. Today he is 120. And it was exactly the same grade as this. So if he comes back to form, he would have a major say here. Cheepieces applied too but i think the left handed track and the drop in distance, and back over hurdles is all he needs, plus he has a nice low weight to carry in testing conditions. He could go close.

Baby Ticker is a C&D winner and on heavy ground. He is now 5lb higher than that, plus the jockey is only a 5lb claimer not a 7lb claimer, who was on him when he won. So really he is 7lb worse off. His course form is solid though - 1, 2, 8, 4, 1, 4, 1. the 8th palced was over 3m, the rest were 2m 6f and below. He is 12 now, but he could still run well. He is capable in this class. Heavy ground form is good too as 3 of his 4 wins have come on heavy, and 2 of those were at Ayr.

Dorking Boy won last time out in a lower class, and he was upped a large 6lb by the handicapper. So it will make it harder for him, he also had a 7lb claimer on board which he doesnt today. Ground and trip is no issue. He has come 350 miles for this though, which is food for thought. Probably just to accompany Gold Clermont in the earlier race. 

My Selection: Grand Morning 12/1 



 

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