02/11/18 Breeders Cup Friday

 
7:21 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint
Shang Shang Shang 11.34 - hasnt run for a while though!
Soldiers Call 11.44
Stillwater Cove 11.50
Chelsea Cloisters 11.58
So Perfect 11.70
Strike Silver 11.75



Queen Of Bermuda 11.87 (will want softer ground)
Unlce Benny 11.87
Sergei Prokofiev 11.89
Well Done Fox 11.92
Moonlight Romance 11.98
Pocket Dynamo 12.15
It's Gonna Hurt 12.15
Big Drink Of Water 12.17
Bulletin 12.25


Shang Shang Shang hasn't ran for some time but based on her last race, she is the one they have to beat. However, that race was in July and Pocket Dynamo wasn't far away then and the worry would be that he is fitter than her. You cannot ignore Wesley Wards runners in this race though and Shang Shang Shang is still unbeaten, and tops the lot. I would prefer a lower stall for her and i wouldn't want it soft, the faster the better. Soldiers Call is the next best in the speeds and he did amazingly well against the older horses in Prix De L'Abbaye, he holds seriously claims.

8:00 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
The Mackem Bullet 11.69
La Pelosa 11.71
My Gal Betty 11.74
Newspaperofrecord 12.01
Summering 12.14
Just Wonderful 12.18
Varenka 12.20
Lily's Candle 12.37
Hermosa 12.39
Pakhet 12.42
Belle Laura 12.43
East 12.54

Aidan O'Brien and Chad Brown do well in this race. Just Wonderful heads the O'Brien runners and Newpaperofrecord of the Brown Camp. Newspaperofrecord is favourite but speeds suggest he could find another European runner too quick. A low draw is very handy here and The Mackem Bullet is in 2. Just Wonderful 4 and Newspaperofrecord in 6. A horse i have been impressed with is East, but she has been given a very poor draw, and she would need to to be soft out there. Everybody is expecting Just Wonderful and Newspaperofrecord to be a 1-2 here, but The Mackem Bullet keeps flying under the radar.


8:40 Tito's Handmade Vodka Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies
Jaywalk 11.82
Sippican Harbor 11.96
Cassie's Dreamer 12.02
Cookie Dough 12.02
Restless rider 12.26
Bellafina 12.30
Reflect 12.33
Serengeti Empress 12.40
Vibrance 12.49

 Normally the market is a good indicator of the winner of this race, and it points to Bellafina. They also prefer a Group 1 winner and the top 5 in the market have all won a Group 1. I am happy with Jaywalk, although he likes to lead and there are several others in the race who like to as well. It's going to be a blistering pace and that will suit Bellafina, who likes to tuck right in behind the leaders.


9:22 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf
Anthony Van Dyck 12.19
Arthur Kitt 12.20
Line Of Duty 12.27
Forty Under 12.27
Current 12.36
Henley's Joy 12.37
Broome 12.51

Another race dominated by Aidan O'Brien or Chad Brown - Anthony Van Dyck heads up the O'Brien charge and Chad Brown doesn't have a runner. The Europeans hold a strong card here and according to the speeds, could very well take the top 3 places

10.05 Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Juvenile
Complexity 11.82
Mind Control 11.85
Code Of Honor 11.92
Game Winner 12.20
Mind Control 12.26
Dueling 12.31
Gunmetal Gray 12.34

This looks to be between Complexity and Game Winner. I would say the 1- 2 for sure, but which way? My speeds suggest Complexity just has it, but both horses won very comfortably and how much were they eased down?I would lean towards my speeds, but the Market is normally pretty accurate for this race which says Game Winner.


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