13/09/18 4:55 Listowel - System

1st Lite Duties 13/2 - 45
2nd Orion D'Aubrelle 11/2 - 35
3rd It's All Guesswork 2/1 - 25

Lite Duties is the oldest horse in the race and has also been off for 221, which might make things tougher, except, he was off 1070 days when coming back on heavy ground and winning at a higher level than this. But then he is getting older, so its going to get harder. On the plus side, its raining and the more rain the better. He is a winner on soft and heavy ground. He is a Grade 2 winner over hurdles. Mark Enright is back on board after steering him to victory after the 1070 days off. He jumps well so hopefully will take to the fences well. The only issue is he has to be fit enough.

Orion D'Aubrelle is still a maiden, however is stepping back up in trip for this, which i think will help. He ran very well over 3 miles in a Grade 2 Handicap Hurdle in April, only beaten 3L. But then was dropped back in trip for his debut over fences. He will be much happier over this longer trip. So far he has been well beaten on Soft and Heavy ground in Ireland but was a 12L winner on Very Soft in Frnace. Plus he is by Saint Des Saints, who produce mud lovers.

It's All Guesswork was just beaten last time out over fences and goes up in distance, he has solid claims. My only worry is the going. He did run a a solid 3rd at Galway on soft over fences, but i would worry that he could be vulnerable to a horse who will love conditions

My Selection: Lite Duties 13/2


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