04/07/18 2:40 Worcester - System
2nd Strongley Suggested 8/1
2nd Vendrei Trois 13/2
3rd Blagapar 9/4
Some of the working out is based on trainer and jockey form in the last 14 days. And that alone can score a maximum of 40 points. However Roberts Star comes form a very small stable, who in the last 2 weeks has had 1 runner. Looking back though in 90 days he has had 9 runners with a 33% strike rate. Although thats not included as the system is based on 14 days form. But its something to bare in mind, as the horse still scored top here. Nico De Boinville however is on a 30% strike rate in the last 14 days so thats helped.Jonjo O'Neill and Dr Richard Newland have strike rates of 30%+, they train Strongley Suggested and Blagapar.
So, Roberts Star, won a Novice Handicap chase by a whopping 15L last time out. He is up 10lb for that win, but as with all Bradstock horses, they are trained very well over fences, and tend to jump for fun, so he might still have improvement in him. He likes the track as has won here over hurdles. 2 of his 3 wins have come on good ground. He is 2, 1, 1, at this distance as well. So a lot looks in his favour, plus the cheekpieces he has worn has brought out a lot of improvment. So he should run well again.
Strongley Suggested loves his ground and is an 8 times winner on it. His stats at Worcester are 1, 1, 6, 2, on the chase course, he is also a winner on the hurdles course. Like Roberts Star, he also has to contend with a career high Mark, but he has conditions in his favour. He ran well after a break last time and comes here fit.
Vendredi Trois won over C&D last time out, and was put up 6lb for a 4L victory. A couple of winners came out of that race, and more is needed again if he is to be involved. He is another who goes well here, all his wins have come on good ground, and he will go well but will also need to improve.
Blagapar, is very lightly raced and improved massively for the step up in trip in his last 2 races. winning by 13L last time out. He could have more improvement to come, 2 of his 3 wins have come on good. Could be a player
My Selection: Robert's Star 17/2