14/02/18 3:30 Musselburgh - System
2nd Surpise Vendor 8/1 - 60
3rd Titus Bolt 13/2 - 35
The Favourite Our Lucas has the best current form when 2nd in a better race, but he will have to prove himself on the better ground.
I do not always understand where my systems come from based on pure stats, then my system tells me The Compeller is the horse to go with, but the P's in his form are a worry. The first P i wonder if he was injured, because his next run was 572 days later, and on soft ground that would be hard for any horse to come back off a break like that. The better ground could suit and the shorter distance. The horse scored well because the trainer is in form and the jockey is flying. When teamed together they have a 40% strike rate in the last 14 days and 60% place rate. .
Surprise Vendor is getting on a bit, he is capable at this level but his recent wins have come on heavy, in fact his last 3 wins have come on heavy.
Titus Bolt will prefer this better ground, would probably want it a little drier but baed on his debut over fences he has ew claims on this better ground.
My Selection: The Compeller 16/1
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