02/02/17 7:30 Chelmsford - System
1st Midtech Star 7/1 - 65
2nd Ride The Lightening 11/4 - 55
2nd Cavalieri 14/1 - 55
3rd El Campeon 8/1 - 50
3rd Luv U Whatever 12/1 - 50
What a very close race this is. I hope my system has found the right horse here.
Midtech Star has dropped to 1lb higher than his last win which was at this trip, coincidentally its the first time back at this exact trip since his win as well on the AW. Adam Kirby rode him that day. Adam Kirby's stats on him are 4, 2, 1, 1, 5. He has only won 3 times and Kirby has been on him for 2 of those wins. He certainly has claims back in this lass after competing in a class 3 race.
El Campeon is 2 wins from 3 at this distance and was beaten by a horse possibly well handicapped last time out, they were nearly 4L clear of the 3rd horse. So3lb rise might mean he still has a good chance. Plus he has come a long way for this race.
Ride The Lightening won last time out and the run maybe suggests he would like further, bit too short for me though.
Luv U Whatever has dropped right down the handicap. His last run was here over half a furlong shorter, in a class 2 race. This is much easier than that race. And if he comes back to form he will be bang in there.
Calalieri is roping back in trip which might help, but he is still 7lb higher than his last win, this looks a little hard for him.
Paris Magic came next and he is not without a chance. Some good AW breeding.
My Selection: Midtech Star 7/1
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