Top Tips 19/9/13

Ajman Bridge

4:10 Ayr - Swiftly Done 7/2 (nap)

2:40 Ayr - Elusive Bonus 6/1 e/w
3:20 Yarmouth - Ocean Tempest
3:30 Pontefract - Ajman Bridge 4/1 (system tip)
3:35 Lisotwel - Fulminita 13/8 (system)
4:05 Listowel - Abou Ben 14/1 e/w
5:05 Listowel - Grange 7/2
6:05 Listowel - Stolberg  7/2 (system)

Stalls Analysis


3:10 Ayr - Joshua The First 14/1
3:50 Yarmouth  - Boadicee 4/1
4:50 Yarmouth - I Say 9/4
5:30 Pontefract - No Dominion 5/2
7:10 Kempton - Big Whiskey 12/1
8:40 Kempton - Nave 12/1
9:10 Kempton - Ishi Honest 10/1



Stall Analysis

8:40 Kempton - 6 races

10. Nave 50% (3)
9. Strawberry Jam 17% (1)
4. Autun 17% (1)
1. Jupiter Storm 17% (1)

Only 6 races qualified for this. And stall 10 had the most wins. I did broadened the search to all ages. And Stall 10 still had 50% more wins than any other stall. However in this search, stall 4 constantly performed well in all runner races. So for me reading these stats i would place Nave and Autun as the main 2.


9:10 Kempton
4. Ishi Honest 25% (3)
6. Fletcher Christian 17% (2)
11. Harrogate Fair 17% (2)

Worst Stalls

1. Koharu 0%
2. Batchworth Lady 0%
9. Malaysian Boleh 0%
10. Starlight Angel 0%

There is no clear cut trend here, So i would have to look to the main 3. Ishi Honest looks the best out of the 3. First time cheekpieces and David Probert comes here to ride just this one.


7:10 Kempton

9. Big Whiskey 20% (3)
2. Zain Spirit 13% (2)
4. Excellent Puck 13%
6. Tribal Path 13%
8. Perfect Haven 13%

Several races that qualify and there is a certain bias in the higher stall draws, widening the search shows this to be the case and stall 6 to 9 could hold the winner.


5:30 Pontefract

1. Satanic Beast 29% (2)
8. Obboorr 29%
7. Shadowtime 14% (1)
2. West End Lad 14%
3. No Dominion 14%

Lower stalls here seem to be the best option, widening the search, leads me to pointers that 2 and 3 are looking like stalls that hold a small advantage. I think the favourite No Dominion could go very well from his stall.


4:50 Yarmouth 

2. I Say 40% (2)
1. Saint Helen 20% (1)- NR
6. Nullarbor Sky 20%
7. Kittens 20%

Not many qualifying races for this however widening the search shows that stall 2 could hold an advantage, but only just. I Say looks good to take this.

3:10 Ayr

13. Joshua The First 100% (1)

only one race qualifies and even widening the search still proves to be the case, although  it does bring stall 11 - Barkston Ash into the frame too.