Top Tips 12/9/13

Thunderball winning at Doncaster on Soft going




3:25 Epsom - McDelta 16/1 - £110
4:25 Doncaster - Thunderball 8/1- £15
5:00 Doncaster - Proud Chieftain 14/1
9:00 Wolves - St Ignatius 8/1 (nap) - £15

£40 stake - £140 returns = £100 profit
Stall Analysis

2:20 Epsom (only 5 races matched criteria)

3. Star Code 50% - 3 wins
4. Classic Mission - 20% 1 win
5. Roring Samson 20 % 1 win
1. China In My Hand 0%
2. Pool House 0%

looking at similar races hardly any winners have come from stall 1 and 2

3:25 Epsom (16 races matched)

1. McDelta 38% (6 wins)
8. Aint Got A Scooby 25% (4)
6. Nightster 13% (2)

Worst Stalls

4, Hipster 0%
5. Astrosapphire 0%

I think there are enough races to go on here, and there looks to be a slight advantage to stall 1.

4:25 Doncaster (4 races)

21.If So 50% (2)
6. Pearl Ice 25% (1)
15. Enderby Spirit 25% (1)

really not enough stats to go on here. although the fact that there is so many runner and in 50% of the races run a winner has twice come from the same stall. If So certainly looks to have an e/w chance though. But still no conclusive.
 
8:00 Woverhampton

Exact stats only 2 races have ever been run in these conditions, the stalls they won from are

1. One In A Thousand
9. Whipphound

to get a bigger picture i looked at the going just as standard, 100 races qualified. and the result looked like:

1. One In A Thousand 11%
3. Lord Buffhead 11%
10. Gambino 11%
2. Molly Jones 10%

the worst stalls are

11. Gaelic Wizard 6%
8. Avonlini 5%

all the races in between are all 9-8 winners, so it's very close. The only real trend is that stall 11, is not the best stall to be in. But otherwise there seems to be no real advantage but the higher the draw the harder it will be to win
 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

16/03/23 Cheltenham Day 3

13/04/24 4:00 Aintree - The Grand National System

12/03/24 Cheltenham