Top Tips 3/7/13

4:20 Worcester - Belle De Fontenay 7/2 - £45
8:40 Chepstow - Party Palace 3/1

System Picks

2:40 Perth - Bayan 1/1 - £20
4:50 Worcester - Mighty Clarets 11/8
5:50 Worcester - As I Am 2/1
6:40 Cheptstow - Swendab 5/2

£60 stakes - £65 returns = £5 profit

6:40 Chepstow - Swendab 5/2

1st Swendab 5/2 - 60
2nd Trending 10/1 - 35
3rd The Mongoose 7/1 - 20
3rd Verus Delicia 8/1 - 20
3rd Diamond Vine 16/1 - 20
3rd Catflap 20/1 - 20

SWENDAB is the clear cut horse in the system, plum draw, loves the sprints at Chepstow is 2 wins and a place from it. Last win was in 2 classes higher, and is 6lb higher in the handicap for it. My only worry is that the horse is carrying 10st 3lb which is a massive weight, but he is still 7lb lower than his highest winning mark. The Mongoose has an interesting jockey booking, and is only 3lb higher in the handicap since his last winning run. He however has not carried this weight before and although has won carrying 5lb less, but that day had a 7lb claimer on board. Hazza The Jazza could be a big threat, he is now 3lb lower than his last winning run. I am just concerned it might be a little too fast today, and he is coming from stall 12. Trending is 4lb higher than last winning run, but has only ever won over 5f, and tends to pull hard during his races, 6f might be too much.


4:50 Worcester 

1st Mighty Clarets 11/8 - 80
2nd Shaddaii 12/1 - 25
3rd Dancing Emily 15/2 - 20
3rd Divine Folly 12/1 - 20

MIGHTY CLARETS is the one to beat here, even though he is carrying top weight and a penalty. However his last run he won by 14L, and this extra distance could suit well. up 13lb in the handicap for his last run and carrying 12lb more in weight than that day. It is a lot but looks set to do it. Wild West needs the tongue strap and cheek pieces to work, although it was his first run for quite a while, and must improve on that. Dancing Emily will appreciate the firmer ground, but has a lot to do to beat Might Clarets.