Top Tips 24/7/13

Lost In Paris

2:10 Lingfield - Emperor's Hope  - NON RUNNER

Richard Hughes only ride here, which i s a big positive. Also a return to 6f should suit very well. Plus from running in a Class 2 and Class4, this is a drop into a Class 6 Claimer. Limegrove looks the main danger but has more negatives than this girl. Should prove hard to beat.

4:00 Catterick - Lost In Paris 4/1 - £50

3 out of his 6 wins have come at Catterick over today's distance too.Although he is 4lb higher than his last winning run here. he is actually 6lb lower than his highest winning run. Connections are hoping for a win today, because if he does, he will go to Goodwood next week.

4:20 Worcester - Rosie Probert 8/13 - £16.15

Might be a little short, but will be hard to beat. McCoy teams up with this Nicky Henderson trained mare. and for Henderson here stats are 1, 2, 1. Back to 2m over hurdles, i would be shocked if she didn't win

5:10 Lingfield - Winter Story 7/1 e/w

System Pick

5:35 Lingfield - Shifting Star 13/2e/w (PP) - NAP

Am playing safe with an e/w here, although i think he can win. If he reproduces his form 2 runs ago then he has every chance. Only beaten 1/2L carrying 10st. Today's carrying 1lb less, but dropping back 7f. However he is still 14lb lower than his C&D win a while back. Stats over C&D 2*, 1*, 7***, 9*. (each * represents how much higher the class is than todays). So as you can see he has won in a class above todays, the 7th was a class 2 race. And the 9th was on Slow, and that might not have suited as well. My only worry is the headgear is off today, that can go either way. I would be shocked to see him out the first 3. And just a final comment, he last time he race her it was over 1m on turf, and came 3rd, beaten only 1 1/2L,


£40 stakes - £66.15 return = £26.15 profit