Tips for 21/3/13

2:10 Chepstow - Enchanting Smile SP
2:30 Wolverhampton - Angelo Poliziano 8/1 e/w (nap)- £60
5:15 Wolverhampton - Back On The Trail 10/3 - £43.33
5:30 Chepstow - Kirkleigh 10/11 - £19.09
5:50 Wolverhampton - Big Sylv 7/2
8:30 Kempton - Black Dave 12/1

£60 stakes - £122.42 returns = £62.42 profit

Todays Nap

2:30 Wolverhampton - Angelo Poliziano 8/1 e/w

I think this horse has got a great chance. But i am advising e/w. If you look back at his history over course and distance it reads 1*, 1*, 6*, 4*, 7, 2*, 4*, 4*, 1, 1   (* is a higher class than todays race) if you look closely at his last 2 races after his last 2 wins over C&D then you can discount the one at Wolves over 6f, because 5f looks to be his best distance. And last time out in a claimer he came 3rd out of 5, beaten only 1L by Where's Reilley . Where's Reiley has since gone onto more success by winning 2 out of 3 races. The 2nd horse Harmoody, went on to step up in class and come a respectable 4th, and then stepped back down and won well. The 4th horse hasn't run since, but the horse that came last has also gone onto win, before being beaten into 2nd in a higher class race. 

So all in all it looks very good for this horse, and i would see him going very well today. My only worry would be the weight, but he has carried heavier before, so it should not burden him too much. Also this is his first run for new yard, which is something i like, as it always seems to bring out improvement