Tips for 21/2/13

Sherjawy has every chance today

I am doing this a bit differently today, as there are a few that really stand out today and a few i really like that want to bring to your attention. I will explain my reasons

Top Tips

2:50 Ayr - Spirit Of A Nation 5/2 (nap)
3:20 Ayr - Grouse Lodge 5/4 - £22.50
6:30 Kempton - Sherjawy 6/1
9:00 Kempton - Admiralty 5/2- £35

£40 stake - £57.50 return = £17.50 profit

Others

2:30 Huntingdon - Join The Navy 10/1 e/w
4:20 Ayr - The Tracey Shuffle 11/8
5:00 Meyden - My Freedom 7/1 e/w
5:30 Kempton - Fashion Flow 7/1 e/w
6:10 Meyden - Lui Rei 12/1 e/w


Todays Nap

2:50 Ayr - Spirit Of A Nation 5/2

Jockey and horse combo is 1 out of 1, only 6lb higher than when they last teamed up over this distance on heavier ground back in August. Came back after a break with a 3rd, and should come on from that run.  My only worry is that the track might be a little sharper than this horse would like, but i do not think it will worry him too much, and he has a very good chance.

The other top tips, Admiralty has a great chance, after still winning last time out, even though he bolted before the start. Sherjawy was a very close 3rd over course and distance a few weeks back and in a weak looking race, he is also 1lb lower now since that 3rd. And Grouse Lodge should easily get the better of only 2 other runners.

Of the others Join The Navy is a very interesting runner, carrying a stone less then the next runner and 26lbs less than the top weight. You have Mentalist and Denali Highway who both have cracking chances, but in these conditions, it is an advantage to carry such a light weight and his last 2 races have has performed very well. I wouldn't be surprised if he improves and gets in the mix again.

The Tracey Shuffle is interest, has travelled nearly 400 miles for this race and is David Pipes only runner up here, is there a reason?, well the horse is favourite. Although top weight, but should not be too much of an issue. Fashion Flow has shown nothing really, the best form was over todays trip  in a higher grade. So a big drop in class and an interesting Jockey booking in Adam Kirby combined with a first start for new yard. That makes it very interesting.

My Freedom amd Lui Rei are both horses i have liked in the past, My Freedom could easily take this, but as some horses are unknown i am playing safe, the same with Lui Rei.