The Novice Tipster

No real significant stall advantage anywhere today. However i have highlighted 3 races here, where although not enough information to make a proper assessment there is something interesting there. 7:50 Wolves Cherry Tiger 10/1 - only 4 races run on the new surface with 11 runners at this distance. But 3 of the 4 winners came from Cherry Tigers stall. 9:20 Wolves  Star Anise 12/1 - similar to Cherry Tigers situation, there have only been 5 runs under these conditions, 3 of the 5 winners have come from Star Anise's stall 1:50 York Indy 6/1 - once again only small numbers here, 3 runs under same conditions and 2 of those winners have came from Indy's stall

Selections for Longchamp 1:00 Cotai Glory 11/1 1:35 Pink Rose 14/1 2:10 Full Mast 13/2 2:45 We Are 5/1 3:30 Ectot 11/2 4:50 Karakonite 5/1 5:20 Pale Mimosa 5/2 5:50 Dylar SP

1:30 Auvray 11/2 2:08 Solow 5/2 2:40 Savanne 5/1 3:15 Cirrus Des Aigles 4/7 4:15 Loussia SP

I have used trends from Sportinglife to see if we can find the winner of the Arc 1. 3yo who won a group 1 or 2 as a 2yo (or were unbeaten at 2) Ectot, Prince Gibraltar, Kingston Hill, Avenir Certain, Shamkala, Taghrooda, Tapestry 2. 3yo filly that won an Oaks or 3yo colt that finished in first 3 in Prix Niel Taghrooda, Ectot, Tapestry 3. Sired by a horse with stamina index of 8.2F to 11.0F Al Kazeem, Gold Ship, Just A Way, Ivanhowe, Treve, Ectot, Prince Gibraltar, Kingston Hill, Dolniya, Taghrooda, Harp Star. 4. Won last time out in last 40 days  Ruler Of The World, Ivanhowe, Ectot, Kingston Hill, Free Port Lux, 5. Posted an RPR of 120+ in last 2 runs Al Kazeem, Treve, Just The Way, Taghrooda, Harp Star, Ruler Of The World, Kingston Hill, Avenir Certain, Flintshire, Ectot, Prince Gibraltar, Spiritjim, Ivanhowe, Siljan's Saga, Dolniya, Free Port Lux, Shamkala, Chicquita, Tapestry   6. Won a group 1 race worth 170...

  Stalls Analysis, is a guideline only, i have gone through every race today, and written down races, where there is some advantage. There has to be a clear advantage over other stalls, or a pattern to where the winners come from. Chester 1:55 Minnie 26% MuffriHa 17% - WON 4/1 Midnight Ride 14% Stalls 6-9  are ones to avoid with only 6% of winners coming from each stall 2:30 Tagula Night 40% - WON - 8/1 3:05 Potentate 50% 4:15 Don Sigfredo 50% Haydock 2:25 Kallisima 20% Candella 18% * 4:45 This Is The Day 23% - WON 6/1 5:20 Dashing Star 22% Newmarket  2:35 Salateen 32% 6:05 Gothic 33% Ripon  2:45 Cadeaux Pearl 21% 5:40 Meadway 33% Wolverhampton 6:00 Qatar Princess 33%

Not much today, in fact only 2 races at Beverley 2:40  Jammy Moment 10/11 - 35% 3:10 George Bailey 20% Deep Blue Diamond 14% Rocco's Delight 0% interesting stalls here. the first 2 stalls between them have a 34% strike rate. The last 4 stalls 4-11 have a puny 16% strike rate. and the 5 stalls in the middle have a 50% strike rate between them. So George Bailey has a solid and clear advantage in his stall, and the higher the number the less likely the chance.

Please remember Stalls Analysis, is not an exact science. It's a guideline. I have gone through every race today, and looked for any 'advantage' to a stall. It could be a freak result, or there could be a real advantage to the stall, i cannot tell you why a stall has produced more winners than the others. However if it helps you find that winner, then surely every little helps - my selections are in blue . Worst stall in red , next best stall in green Ayr 3:15 Gabrial - 31% Sennockian Star 16% Gabrial's stall has produced twice the number of winners as the next best stall. 5:35  Pressure Point 29% Thorntoun Care 18% Buthelezi 0%   Catterick 2:10  Magic Empress 33% Juncart 13% Midlander 13% 2:45  Fast Charlie 50% Little Belter 0% Newbury  1:50  Camborne 50% Cubanita 0% Glorious Protector 0% 5:15 Champagne Sydney 25% Above The Stars 3% Wolverhampton (please note these are new stats for the surface, so not many ...