10/02/19 4:20 Punchestown - Grand National Trial

1st Dinnie's Vinnie 16/1 - 70
2nd Fitzhenry 5/1 - 60
2nd General Principle 6/1 - 60
3rd Monbeg Notorious 12/1 - 55
4th Some Neck 5/1 - 40

As you can see, it is quite a tight race.

Dinnie's Vinnie just scraped top here, he isnt get any younger and is 2nd oldest in the race. He is 0-2 at Punchestown (PU & 9th) which is a worry, but he has won at similar tracks before. He will love the ground. of his 7 wins, 5 have come in his last 11 races since cheekpieces have been added. Luke Dempsy gets on well with him and has been on his for all his wins, from 21 runs. (placed 3 times as well) also since cheekpieces have been added, his stats over 3m 1f  is  1, 8, 1. His last win was a Grade 2 over 3 miles 5f. He beat Fitzyhenry that day back in 3rd, and there was a 16lb difference between them, with Fitzhenry carrying more. Fitzhenry is now only 6lb higher.

Fitzhenry's connections are going great guns at the moment, and first time blinkers may have the desired effect on Fitzhenry. I think he would prefer the rain to come, but he has placed at the track and we know he likes the distance. He could go well.

General Principle needs the rain, and i think this will effect him if it doesn't. His wins have all come on soft and heavy ground. If the rain doesn't come then it may be too quick, this horse is an out and out stayer, and if it does turn soft then i would be jumping on. He won the Irish National last year on heavy ground over 3m 5f. He could still run well, but i fear he wont win if it doesnt rain.

I think Monbeg Notorious is the same regarding ground however, he steps back up in trip, the last time he tried this distance was on heavy, maybe the quicker ground may help him get the distance. If it does i think he has ew claims

Some Neck is the choice of Ruby Walsh, he is yet to win at 3 miles or above yet, and he fell last time which is a worry. He has won here before but also unseated as well. The going should be fine though and you can never underestimate a Mullins runner. Personal preference would be for Isleofhopesndreams, he is a proven stayer, and a winner here, plus 2 2nds over fences here. His profile looks a little better.

My Selection:  Dinnie's Vinnie 16/1 (General Principle only if the heavens open 6/1)




Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

16/03/23 Cheltenham Day 3

Image
    Cheltenham (soft)   1:30 Ratings : Banbridge Going : Mighty Potter Speed :Mighty Potter Selection :Mighty Potter 10/11   2:10 Ratings : Brandy Mcqueen Going : Maxxum Speed :Captain Morgs Selection :Maxxum 6/1   2:50 Ratings : Ga Law Going : Envoi Allen/Shishkin Speed :Hitman Selection :Shishkin 10/11   3:30 Ratings : Gold Tweet Going : Teahupoo Speed :Gold Tweet Selection :Gold Tweet 10/1   4:10 Ratings : Captain Tom Cat Going : Two For Gold/Midnight River Speed :Il Ridoto Selection :Midnight River 8/1   4:50 Ratings : Magical Zoe/Luccia Going : Luccia/Endless Escape Speed :Magical Zoe Selection :Magical Zoe 10/1   5:30 Ratings : Captain Cattistock Going : Dr Kananga Speed :Beauport Selection :Beauport 10/1
Read more

13/04/24 4:00 Aintree - The Grand National System

Image
  1st Corach Rambler 11/2 - 85 2nd Delta Work 18/1 - 60 3rd Galia Des Liteaux 25/1 - 50 3rd Aint That A Shame 50/1 - 50 3rd Chambard 66/1 - 50 3rd Noble Yeats 16/1 - 50 (FYI 4th Vanillier & Mac Tottie 45, 5th Nassalam, Limerick Lace, Run Wild Fred 40. 6th Latenightpass, Minella Indo & Eklat De Rire 35) I kind of feel disappointed that only one horse i like got into the top here. It does contain 2 previous winners of the race and after doing the system, i will conceed that Corach Rambler has a massive chance to follow up here, however we all saw the effort he put in at Cheltenham, it blew me away and it was well reported exactly how tired he was after the race. That worries me as it wasnt that long ago, althougth everything points to another very good run. He has been given a big chance at the weights here, as a lot of you know i am very into the weights carried in this race and at the bottom i will name 4 horses who i would not touch and one of them i actually really liked unti
Read more

12/03/24 Cheltenham

Image
  Cheltenham (s)   1:30 Ratings : Jeriko Du Reponet Going : Mystical Power Speed :Jeriko Du Reponet Selection :Jeriko Du Reponet 13/2   2:10 Ratings : Quilixios Going : None Speed :Matata Selection :Quilixios 6/1   2:50 Ratings : Monbeg Genius Going : Meetingofthewaters Speed : Trelawne Selection :Monbeg Genius 12/1   3:30 Ratings : State Man Going : State Man/Zarak The Brave Speed :Zarak The Brave Selection :State Man 1/3   4:10 Ratings : Love Envoi/Lossiemouth Going : Lossiemouth Speed :Lossiemouth Selection :Lossiemouth 8/13 4:50 Ratings : An Bradan Feasa Going : Miss Manzor/Liari Speed :Liari Selection :Liari 8/1   5:30 Ratings : Apple Away Going : Corbetts Cross Speed :Kilbeg King Selection :Apple Away 10/1
Read more