04/02/17 2:05 Musselburgh - System

1st Alvarado 6/1 - 75
2nd Five In A Row 6/1 - 65
3rd Gonalston Cloud 7/1 - 40
4th Present Lodger 22/1 - 35

Actually looks a 2-3 horse race according to the system.

Alvarado's stats over 4 miles is 4, 4, 2. The two 4th places were in the National. So we know the distance will be fine for him. He has a good weight thanks to Just A Par staying in. He has never been out the places in 3 attempts at Musselburgh and even won one. He is 3 wins from 6 on this going. My only worry is that he fell on his last run, so as long as he is over that, then i think he will run very well.

Five In A Row is the big danger, although not going this far before he has come 2nd in a 3m 5f race, but he also pulled up tackling it for the 2nd times and, if he can recapture the form of the race before then he could go well. He has also won at Musselburgh so the course will not be an issue.

Gonalston Cloud is interesting. He is another that hasn't gone this far before, but his 2nd in the North Yorkshire National proves he likes a test of stamina, as he stayed on very strongly at the end. The cheekpieces and the step up in distance could be just what he wants.

I really fancy a combination T/C and F/C on the 3 above, but would not put you off any of them.

My Selection: Alvarado 6/1



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