Top Tips 5/10/13

Ajman Bridge
5:15 Newmarket - Ajman Bridge 7/4 

Ajman Bridge is highly thought off and after a injury ridden spring, was back with a solid win at Pontefract. Put up a hefty 8lb in the handicap. But harsh for a 2L win i think but the horse has bags of potential and will improve again from that run. Will be hard to beat.

1:30 Ascot - Rocky Ground 9/1
1:55 Fontwell - Hannibal The Great 10/11 - £19.09
2:05 Ascot - Hot Streak 9/2 - £55
2:50 Redcar - Dutch Rose 7/1
4:10 Newmarket - Rock Choir 10/1
4:45 Newmarket - Mince 11/4 - £37.50

£60 stake - £111.59 returns = £51.59 profit


Stalls and System Analysis


1:30 Ascot

1st Noble Storm 10/1 - 60
2nd Definightly 20/1 - 45
3rd Masamah 7/1 - 40
4th Doc Hay 13/2 - 35

There is not enough stall data to do an analysis, i did widen the search however, and Stall 12 looked to produce quite a few winners at 5f. For me it's not conclusive though. Stall 12 will be occupied by Noble Storm.

Noble Storm, Definightly and Masamah all did well in the main stats, in fact Definightly did the best. However the speed stats Noble Storm was the best, which took him clear, and 10/1 is a nice e/w price


2:05 Ascot

1st Hot Streak 4/1 - 65
2nd Extortionist 11/2 - 55

Once again stalls are the same as the 1:30. Stall 12, which is Extortionist. Hot Streak and Extortionist were well clear of the others, in the main stats and speed. All the others scored 20 and below, there were about 5 on 20


2:15 Redcar

Stalls 

12. Jo Burg 33%
13 Black Rider 33%
14 Jonny Lesters Hair 33%


System
1st Jo Burg 12/1 - 40
2nd Lilac Lace 16/1 - 30
3rd Ingelby Angel 4/1 - 20
3rd Surround Sound 14/1 - 20

Stalls under exact conditions there have only be 3 races. But widening the search Stall 12, looks to have a tiny advantage. Looks to be a day for stall 12.

Jo Burg was by far the best on speed, and Lilac Lace was clear in the main system. But Jo Burg looks to be a great e/w bet here


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