Top Tip 25/6/13

Franciscan

Struggling to find some i really fancy. So i have 1 plus a couple of very short ones too

4:35 Carlisle - Franciscan 12/1 e/w

Interesting horse this, i kept coming back to him. Has been out of form recently, but if you look back at his form it reads interesting. Firstly he has been racing in better company so the drop in class today should help. Also as long as there is no rain, which none is forecast then it makes me hopeful. His stats on this surface is 1, 1, 1, 1*, 7* (* higher class than today), i cannot explain the 7th place except that he was on his highest ever mark and carrying biggest weight to date, but was never on terms. But if you look back to his last win, he is now 2lb lower in the handicap than that day, and the horse he beat is racing today too, and Eltheeb is now 3lb higher than that day also they are on a more even keel weight wise. as Franciscan carried 7lb more in the weights whereas today 2lb separate them , also Eltheeb has gone on to beat 2 other runners in this race in Warlu Way and War Poet. So all in all with the ground suiting the drop down in class and the tiny drop in trip. We might just see him sparkle again and at 12/1 could be worth an e/w bet


£10 stake - £20 return = £10 profit

3 others i like (not TT)

2:50 Salisbury - Brown Sugar 4/11
7:30 Nass - Moth 4/7
8:00 Naas - Darwin 4/6

(possible treble)