14/03/18 Cheltenham Systems

These are the systems so far. I have not written much as they take so long to do. But here is the main results. Will finish by start of racing

1st Black Op 10/1 - 60
2nd Next Destination 7/2 - 55
3rd Samcro 4/6 -40

Samcro was probably let down by the form of his stable. Black Op was 2nd to Santini on heavy over C&D. And Next Destination is a winner on heavy and stable are flying

My Selection: Black Op 10/1

1st Monalee 10/3 - 70
2nd Elegant Escape 9/1 - 60
2nd Black Corton15/2 - 60
3rd Ballyoptic 12/1 - 55
3rd Bonbon Au Miel 20/1 - 55

Very tough race this and very open. Presenting Percy scored 40. I am not sure why he didn't score more, but they all have pretty good stats. The only horse to to have run on heavy is Black Corton, all the rest have run and won, most multiple times.

My Selection: Monalee 10/3

1st Max Dynamite 8/1 - 60
2nd Sprintown Lake 20/1-55
3rd William Henry 8/1- 45

Another very close race and Max Dynamite edges it, even though he has never won at this distance before. Its a big step up for him. Sprintown Lake looked very good and nice odds, and is a winner on heavy ground. WIlliam Henry has not won of heavy but set a very good time last time out

My Selection: Max Dynamite 8/1

1st Min 7/2- 100
2nd Douvan 3/1- 90
3rd Altior 11/10 - 75

This is all down to the fact Altior has never raced on heavy, if he had done he would be at least 2nd, probably 1st. But he hasn't so he has to prove he can. He is frech bred so in theory the ground should be fine, but its no guarentee. Min looks the danger. I will go with Min for the value

My Selection: Min 7/2

1st Urgent De Gregaine 18/1 - 55
2nd Josie's Orders 8/1 - 50
3rd Beeves 66/1 - 40

Another race which is very close. Tiger Roll and Cause of Causes bother scored 35, then wehad 4 on 30. I thought The Last Samurai had a great chance, as never out the places in 8 races on soft, winning 5 of them. UDG has won here before and placed last time out, he came 2nd in Prague in a listed race on Soft and im not sure how the going translates, but it was over 4m 2f, so this shouldnt be an issue.

My Selection: Urgent De Gregaine 18/1

1st Esprit De Somoza 14/1 -75
2nd Look My Way 10/1 - 70
3rd Nube Negra 11/1- 60
3rd Style De Garde 14/1 - 60

I actually liked Nube Negra and am on myself, but am following Esprit De Somoza, i know they rate the horse, and was on last time he ran, and i do not like judging the jockeys, but i dont think Lizzie Kelly rode him as well as she could have, she let the winner have a soft lead and i am guess she thought they would reel him in, she didnt really try until after the last fence, because she was catching but she didnt get there.

My Selection: Esprit De Somoza 14/1

1st Crooks Peak 20/1 - 70
1st Acey Milan 13/2 - 70
2nd Blackbow 5/1 - 50
3rd Relegate 25/1 - 45

As always there is not much between them. Hopefully one of these will be the winner

My Selection: Acey Milan 13/2 & Crooks Peak 20/1 ew


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